reddit网友:老龄化人口的增加对经济来说是可怕的。越来越多的老年人依靠年轻人工作。最终,(人口减少)还会使很多房屋和城镇被遗弃。日本已经出现了这种情况。有很多曾经繁荣美丽的乡村现在都濒临废弃。(人口减少)也减缓了科技进步的发展。
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-------------译者:散夜-审核者:龙腾翻译总管------------
China’s Looming Crisis: A Shrinking Population
正逼近中国的危机:日益减少的人口
-------------译者:沈阳有发展-审核者:龙腾翻译总管------------
【红迪网处评论】
Archon_Ildabaoth
How is this a bad thing? The world needs less people not more.
这怎么会是件坏事呢?世界需要的是更少的人,而不是更多的人。
CraftBeerMountaineer
A decreasing aging population is terrible for an economy. There are more and older people relying on young people to work. Eventually it also leaves many homes and towns abandoned. Japan is already seeing this. There are many once-thriving beautiful rural villages but now many are being near abandoned.
It also slows the process of technological and scientific advancement.
老龄化人口的增加对经济来说是可怕的。越来越多的老年人依靠年轻人工作。最终,(人口减少)还会使很多房屋和城镇被遗弃。日本已经出现了这种情况。有很多曾经繁荣美丽的乡村现在都濒临废弃。(人口减少)也减缓了科技进步的发展。
Archon_Ildabaoth
And technology is reaching those limits now
现在科技也处在了瓶颈期。
DarkSkyKnight
Economies can theoretically grow until the Sun dies and the Universe enters heat death. You're reading way too much Marx. As long as the Sun doesn't run out the economy can grow.
理论上,经济增长能持续到太阳毁灭,宇宙进入热寂态。你马克思读多了。只要太阳还在,经济就能增长。
However if someone is also familiar with science and technology they will also know that we are not even close to extracting the maximum amount of energy from this planet. The problem we have right now is waste. Solar panels are inefficient nuclear power is inefficient we haven't developed our own reliable fusion methods yet and much more.
但是,熟悉科学和科技的人就会知道,我们还远没有到耗尽地球能源的地步。我们现存的问题是能源浪费。太阳能板效率不高,核能源效率不高,我们还没有可靠的核聚变方法,问题还有很多。
Humanity has spent a few generation grabbing the low hanging fruit of energy but that doesn't mean we are close to running out of energy. We're not and it's not even close.
We're still a bunch of technological low-lives digging holes in the ground to get ancient plant matter so that we can burn it for energy. But it won't always be like this.
几代人都在采摘能源树下层的果实,但这并不意味着我们即将耗尽能源。还没有而且远没有耗尽。科技上讲我们仍处在下层阶段,我们挖进地里获取远古植物,燃烧它们以获取能量。但不会永远如此。
-------------译者:有余-审核者:龙腾翻译总管------------
[There are more and older people relying on young people to work.]
Only true in hunting and gathering societies or strict agrarian society without technology.
This is no longer the case nowadays.
[越来越多的老年人依靠年轻人来工作。]
这只有在狩猎和采集社会的时代,或没有技术有条条严格规范的农业社会中才是正确的。现如今情况早不是如此。
[Eventually it also leaves many homes and towns abandoned. Japan is already seeing this. There are many once-thriving beautiful rural villages but now many are being near abandoned.]
Again not a bad thing.
[最终,(人口减少)还会使很多房屋和城镇被遗弃。日本已经出现了这种.....都濒临废弃。]
再说一次,这不是件坏事。
-------------译者:上官小仙女-审核者:龙腾翻译总管------------
random_LA_azn_dude
You misunderstood my question. The retiring population of most westernized economies rely on younger generations to work in order to contribute money to government funds for social services (one example is in the form of taxes on income gains e.g. FICA taxes in US). The pay-as-you go model for such benefits like social security cannot continue as is if the balance between the retired population and the working population skews too largely towards the former population. There are political consequences with rationing social security for the retirees or extending the retirement age (again) and moral consequences in simply decreasing the amount of care promised to retirees in order to let them die off faster.
你误解了我的问题。大多数西方经济体国家的退休人口依赖年轻一代来工作,这样才能为政府提供社会服务资金(例如,对收入征税,例如美国的联邦社会保险税)。如果退休人口与工作人口之间的平衡在很大程度上偏向退休人口,那么像社会保障福利的现收现付模式就不能继续存在。对退休人员进行定额社会保障配给或(再次)延长退休年龄是有政治后果的,而且为了让他们更快地死亡只需简单的减少对退休人员所承诺的医疗护理金额也会有道德后果。
CraftBeerMountaineer
Its not just true of a hunting gathering society it is true for all economies. Old retired people rely on young people to work.
In regards to the top 10 economies those with decreasing native population are not doing fine. Japan's economy has barely grown since the 90s and public debt for all of them have skyrocketed in order to pay for government backed retirement plans.
退休人口依靠年轻人工作不仅是狩猎采集社会的真实情况,也是所有经济体的真实情况。对于排名前十、本土人口正在减少的经济体来说情况也不好。 自90年代以来,日本的经济几乎没有增长,而且为了支付政府支持的退休计划,所有人的公共债务都大幅飙升。
LeYanYan
lol sure people would give free food and healthcare just like that and not being dick to each others as usual. Call it a miracle.
哈哈,大可以肯定的是,人们会(给贫穷挨饿之人)提供免费的食物和医疗保障而不会像往常一样互相贬低对方。我们称这为奇迹。
我们致力于传递世界各地老百姓最真实、最直接、最详尽的对中国的看法
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