分析家：五年后半数日本汽车厂家可能消失 [美国媒体]

Up to half of Japan's automakers may notexist in 5 years: Analyst

一半的日本汽车厂家5年后可能不复存在



Soaring costscould diminish the number of major Japanese car makers to just three or fourplayers by 2021, according to automotive research firm Kelley Blue Book.

根据汽车研究公司Kelley Blue Book的说法，急剧上涨的成本可能导致日本主要汽车厂家的数量在2020年减少到3或4家。

The world'sthird-largest economy is also the world's third-largest vehicle producer,boasting at least eight leading brands, including the world's biggest-sellingautomaker Toyota Motor (7203.T-JP). Other major car producingcountries, such as Germany and the U.S., only have a handful in comparison.

世界第三大经济体同时也是世界第三大汽车生产国，至少有八家主要的汽车品牌，包括世界销量第一的丰田。其他的主要汽车生产国比如美国和德国相比之下只有几个拿得出手的汽车品牌。

But theindustry, once a shining example of the country's economic heft, has had a dismalrun of late. Profits at Toyota have slumped while Mitsubishi Motors (7211.T-JP)hasbeen ensnared in a fuel-economy scandal. Even suppliers haven't been spared:Airbag maker Takata (7312.T-JP)reported its third net loss in thepast four years on Thursday following a massive recall.

作为曾经日本经济实力象征的汽车产业如今却面临困境。丰田的利润在下跌，而三菱汽车陷入了燃油经济性丑闻。即使是供应商也未能幸免：在一次大规模召回后，安全气囊厂家日本高田周四报告了过去四年来的第三次净亏损。



Joe 13 hours ago
Nissan hasRenault as a major owner at 43.4%. Mitsubishi is part of the Mitsubishi Groupthat is diverse. I say Nissan may be gone. Suzuki is also somewhat diverse andhas plants worldwide. It is not popular in the US and that is fine.
Fuji HeavyIndustries will also be around as it makes Subaru, manufacturing Boeing andLockheed Martin helicopters and airplanes under license along with being aglobal development and manufacturing partner to both companies. The ecotechnology division manufactures and sells garbage trucks, robot sweeper, andwind turbines.

法国雷诺公司拥有日产43.4%的股权。三菱汽车是多样化经营的三菱集团的一部分。所以我认为可能消失的是日产。铃木也是多样化经营，在世界都有工厂。在美国并不流行，但是这没什么。
富士重工也不会消失，因为旗下有斯巴鲁，授权制造波音和洛克希德马丁公司的直升机和飞机，而且是这两家公司的全球发展和制造伙伴。其生态技术部门制造和销售的产品包括垃圾车，机器人扫地机以及风力涡轮机。

Geeze 15 hoursago
The articledidn't even give the names of the eight companies in Japan. Who wrote this athird grader?

文章甚至没有给出八家日本公司的名字。这种小学生水平的文章谁写的吖？

help 3 hours ago
This sort ofstuff has been predicted since the 80's and has never panned out. Certainlythings will change but we really are closer to having more manufacturers ratherthan less. Emerging tech and small companies becoming viable is more likely.It's similar to the dawn of automobile manufacturing.

这类的预测80年代就有了，从来没有真的实现。
当然事物会发生改变，但是厂家只会越来越多而不是越少。新兴的技术公司和小公司生存下去的可能性越来越大。这类似于汽车制造业的黎明。

Free 11 hoursago
But what aboutAmerican car companies? Or, European ones? Will some of them meet the samefate? Chrysler hasn't done well. GM almost went belly up till US govt rescuedit. US cars do not sell much over the world. So, what's the big pix for carcompanies look like is the bigger question of uncertainty.

那美国的汽车企业呢？或者欧洲汽车企业呢？它们中的一些公司会面临同样的命运吗？克莱斯勒表现不好。通用公司几乎破产，美国政府拯救了它。美国汽车在全球的销量不多。所以汽车公司未来的前景如何是不确定的。

Joe 4 hours ago
I just read thatNissan bought a major stake in Mitsubishi!

我刚看报道说日产买下了三菱很大的股份！

e 2 hours ago
I'm wonderingwhat the Japanese car companies are. I only know of NIssan, Toyota, Honda andMitsubishi. So what are the others?

我想知道这些日本汽车公司都有哪些。我只知道日产，丰田，本田和三菱。其他几家叫什么名字？

Anne Onymous 2hours ago
Interestinglyenough, there's no prediction about which companies or brands will be bitingthe dust before long. Suzuki? Subaru? Daihatsu?

都没有预测说哪些日本汽车企业不久后将倒闭。铃木？斯巴鲁？大发？

Cup of tea 12hours ago
Japan faces hugepressure from manufacturers based in SKorea and China. Japan has little techlead and qualities are questioned for years in SKorea and China. The price isalso much higher than local competitors.

日本面临着来自中国和韩国厂家的巨大压力。日本几乎没有技术优势，其汽车质量多年来也受到中国和韩国的质疑。而且日本汽车的价格比当地厂家高出狠多。

Good 15 hoursago
Big Eight ofJapan.
1- Toyota
2 - Honda
3- Mitsubishi
4- Nissan
5- Subaru
6- Suzuki
7- Hino (mainlybus and truck maker)
8- Daihatsu(mostly small kei car maker, that are sold mainly in Japan).
Also Fuji makessome small cars, if I am not wrong.

日本八大汽车厂家：丰田，本田，三菱，日产，斯巴鲁，铃木，日野（主要生产巴士和卡车），大发（主要生产轻型车，而且主要是在日本卖）。
如果我没错的话，富士也制造一些小型车。

Joe 12 hours ago
Cadillac sold19,983 new vehicles globally in April, a decrease of 18%, as the brand phasesout its top-selling SRX Crossover in advance of shipments of the all-new XT5successor.
General Motorsand its joint ventures delivered 277,979 vehicles in China in April, anincrease of 7.5 percent from the same month last year.
Autobaojun,Wuling and Faw Jeifang are also GM cars. Just as Opel, Holden & Vauxhallare.

凯迪拉克四月份的全球销量19983辆，同比下降了18%，在全新的XT5发货前，凯迪拉克正逐步淘汰其畅销的SRX Crossover。
通用公司及其合资企业四月份在中国的销量是277979辆，同比增长7.5%。
宝骏，五菱，一汽解放都是通用公司的。德国欧宝汽车，霍顿公司以及沃克斯豪尔汽车公司也是通用公司的。

Denne herrebetaler! 11 hours ago
Don't bet onToyota and Honda going under. GM learned that the only way to survive is to goin big time to the China market but Japanese companies knew about globalizationlong before US companies did.

别想着丰田和本田会破产了。通用汽车公司意识到要想生存就必须在中国市场站稳脚跟，但是日本企业对全球化的了解早于美国企业。

Chris 8 hoursago
Is Scion stillaround? Just as GM dropped Saturn, Olds, Pontiac, Ford dropped Mercury,Chrysler dropped Plymouth. Only natural for the Japanese to focus on its topselling brands. Agreed, Toyota and Honda seem to have done the best inmarketing to the US market.

丰田旗下的赛扬汽车还在吗？就好比通用抛弃土星汽车，奥兹汽车，庞蒂克汽车，以及福特抛弃水星汽车，还有克莱斯勒抛弃普利茅斯汽车一样。所以日本人关注自己卖的最好的汽车是很自然的事情。貌似丰田和本田在针对美国市场的市场营销上做得最好。