中国向美国发出了新信息（一）：不要大惊小怪，我们没那么强大 [美国媒体]

China has a new message for the U.S.: Don’tbe alarmed, we’re not that great.

中国向美国发出了新信息：不要大惊小怪，我们没那么强大



China’s sole operational aircraft carrier,the Liaoning, sails with other ships during a drill in the East China Sea inApril. (AFP/Getty Images)

今年4月，中国唯一的现役航空母舰“辽宁号”在东海的一次演习中与其他舰只一起航行。（法新社/盖蒂图片社）

BEIJING — By President Trump’s account,China is an economic behemoth, out to destroy the United States.

北京——根据特朗普总统的说法，中国是一个经济巨兽，企图摧毁美国。



State media has been told to minimizereferences to Made in China 2025, a major initiative to turn China into aglobal leader in 10 key industries, including artificial intelligence,commercial airline development and pharmaceuticals.

中国官方媒体被告知，要尽量减少提及“中国制造2025”——该计划是一项重大举措，旨在把中国变成10个关键行业的全球领导者，其中包括人工智能、商业航空开发和制药。

“The trade war has made China more humble,”Wang Yiwei, a professor of international affairs at Renmin University inBeijing and deputy director of the institution’s “Xi Jinping Thought” center,told Bloomberg News. “We should keep a low profile.”

“贸易战让中国变得更加谦逊，”中国人民大学国际事务教授、中国人民大学“586思想中心”副主任王义伟告诉彭博新闻社。“我们应该保持低调。”

At a recent Washington reception, China’sU.S. Ambassador Cui Tiankai said Beijing’s goal is to develop itself, not tocompete with other nations. “China has no intention to challenge theinternational standing and interests of any other country or the existinginternational order and system,” he said.

中国驻美国大使崔天凯最近在华盛顿的一个招待会上说，北京的目标是发展自己，而不是与其他国家竞争。他说:“中国无意挑战任何国家的国际地位和利益，也无意挑战现有的国际秩序和体系。”

It’s an odd turn for China under leader Xi,who has sought to shed his country’s modest foreign policy for a moreaggressive, in-your-face quest for dominance. But experts say it’s an attemptto mollify the Trump administration and other foreign leaders.

这对眼下的中国来说是一个奇怪的转变。之前中国一直试图摆脱温和的外交政策，转而寻求更积极、更明显的主导地位。但专家表示，这是为了安抚特朗普政府和其他外国领导人。

“There is an effort to downplay anypotential Chinese threat to the U.S.,” Bonnie S. Glaser, director of the ChinaPower Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote inan email.

“中国试图淡化对美国的任何潜在威胁战略，”国际研究中心中国电力项目主任葛来仪在一封电子邮件中写道。

Trump’s 2017 National Security Strategyaccused China of using “economic inducements and penalties, influenceoperations and implied military threats to persuade other states to heed itspolitical and security agenda.” At the time of its release, a senioradministration official called China a “strategic competitor.” Glaser said thenew modesty campaign was probably prompted by that American assessment.

特朗普的《国家安全战略（2017）》指责中国“利用经济诱导和惩罚、影响力行动和暗示军事威胁来说服其他国家听从其政治和安全议程”。在文件发布时，一位高级政府官员称中国是一个“战略竞争对手”。格拉泽说，中国这一次的新的“谦逊运动”可能是由美国人的评估引起的。

Richard McGregor, author of “The Party: TheSecret World of China’s Communist Rulers,” called the shift “tactical, andlittle more.”

《中国的秘密世界》一书的作者理查德•麦格雷戈称这种转变是“战术性的，稍微高一点”。

“There is a realization in China that theymay have been playing into the hands of their critics in the West by displayingtheir ambition so openly,” he wrote in an email. “That ambition goes wellbeyond economics — China is also catching up and challenging the West, andparticularly the U.S., for technological and geopolitical ascendancy and evenparading itself as a political model, as an alternative to democracy.”

“中国意识到，他们如此公开展示自己的雄心，可能是在正中西方批评者的下怀。” 他在一封电子邮件中写道。“这种雄心远远超出了经济领域——中国也在技术和地缘政治优势领域追赶并挑战西方，尤其是美国，甚至在炫耀自己的政治模式，将它作为一种民主体制的替代选择。”

Chinese participants look at robots duringthe 2018 World Robot Conference in Beijing on Wednesday.

本周三，2018年世界机器人大会在北京召开。

China’s modesty harks back to the rhetoricdeployed by many of the country’s past leaders. As Angela Stanzel, a seniorpolicy fellow and editor of China Analysis at the European Council on ForeignRelations, put it, Xi’s “predecessors have always downplayed China’sdevelopment in comparison to the U.S.”

中国的谦逊让人想起许多中国前领导人的言辞。正如欧洲对外关系委员会资深政策研究员、《中国分析》编辑安吉拉•斯坦泽尔所说，中国的“前任领导人在把中国和美国对比时，总是贬低中国的发展。”

“Hide your strength, bide your time,” wasone of former leader Deng Xiaoping’s most famous sayings, a guiding foreign-policyprinciple for decades.

“韬光养晦”是前领导人286的一句名言，也是中国几十年来外交政策的指导原则。

But when Xi came to power in 2013, hebrought a different message, Stanzel said. China was a world-class country, Xibelieved. It was time for it to behave that way.

但当2013年之后时，中国带来了不同的信息，斯坦泽尔说。今天的领导人认为，中国是一个世界级的国家。是时候让它以这种身份行事了。



But already, remnants of Xi’s old messageare filtering back into the official conversation. As a recent editorial in thePeople’s Daily put it:

但之前旧信息的残余已经开始渗入到官方对话中。正如《人民日报》最近的一篇社论所说:

“After more than a century of hard work,China has returned to the center of the world stage, and this is the basic factwe must observe in the China-U.S. trade friction. . . . Such a large size, such a heavy thing, can’t be hidden by ‘beinglow key,’ ” it said. “Justlike an elephant can’t hide behind a sapling.”

“经过一个多世纪的艰苦努力，中国已经重返世界舞台的中心，这是我们在中美关系中必须看到的基本事实。贸易摩擦……如此大的规模，如此有份量的东西，无法通过‘低调’来隐藏，”它说。“就像大象无法躲在小树苗身后一样。”

jamalwhitedc
China has over-reached. They don't have the capital to keep all theplates spinning and their economy is at a tipping point

中国触顶了。他们没有资本做到面面俱到，他们的经济正处于一个（由盛转衰的）转折点

paul knapp
China has the human capital, and moreimportantly, the will to educate its citizens to a high degree. The US once did that, but now low taxes arethe order of the day and American education ranks near the bottom of theindustrialized world. As America dumbsdown its population, China educates theirs. The outcome should be obvious.

中国有人力资本，更重要的是，中国有意愿对公民进行高水平的教育。美国曾经这样做过，但现在低税收是当今的潮流，美国的教育水平接近工业化国家的最低水平。随着美国人口下降，中国教育了他们的人口。结果应该是显而易见的。

John X Smith
US universities dominates in worldrankings, although I do agree with more investment in lower education k-12.However, your perception of China is merely a result of their propagandacampaign presented to you via their "Great firewall" under the strictdictation of their "1984"-like minstry of propaganda.
"Stanford professor Scott Rozelle hasstudied China’s rural poor for decades; he associates the left-behindgeneration with an “education apocalypse.” Rozelle calls it “the biggestproblem China is facing that nobody’s ever heard about,” estimating that as manyas 400 million future working-age Chinese “are in danger of becomingcognitively handicapped.” This is driven by malnutrition on top of underlyingchronic health challenges, oversized classrooms where only the most capablechildren — a small percentage of the total — can command the attention ofoverstressed teachers, and lack of reinforcement by parents incapable ofbuttressing classroom learning at home. More than half of rural eighth-gradershave IQs lower than 90, according to a report in Science magazine. There is noreal answer to this challenge. What is obvious, though, is that its social andeconomic impacts will be staggering."

美国大学在世界排名中占据主导地位，尽管我确实同意加大对低学历教育的投资。然而，你们对中国的看法仅仅是他们通过“长城防火墙”向你们展示的宣传运动的结果。
斯坦福大学教授罗泽尔研究中国农村贫困人口已有数十年；他将留守一代与“教育启示录”联系在一起。罗泽尔说，这是“中国面临的最大问题，没有人听说过，”他估计，未来有多达4亿处于工作年龄的中国人“面临认知障碍的危险。”“这主要是由于营养不良以及潜在的慢性健康问题，过大的教室里只有最有能力的孩子——占总人数的一小部分——才能得到压力过大的老师的关注，家长也无法加强对家庭课堂学习的支持。”根据《科学》杂志的一篇报道，超过一半的八年级农村学生的智商低于90。这个挑战没有真正的答案。但显而易见的是，它的社会和经济影响将是惊人的。

hwpratt
The poor make good soldiers in times ofgreat need ... the West should not get too cocky.

在最需要帮助的时候，穷人能变成好士兵……西方不应该过于自大。



Sago
Sometimes I wonder : It is not just IQ somuch as the will to work, and learn thoroughly and repeatedly and follow up on details, even minor ones.Huge practice, effort and an almost total willingness to postponegratification.

有时我想知道：不仅仅是智商，还有工作的意愿，要彻底地反复学习，并跟踪细节，甚至是小细节。巨大的实践、努力和几乎完全愿意推迟获得满足感。

edgyinchina
Having lived in China myself for over 10years, I can tell you that a huge percentage of rural Chinese children arelacking in education. The further away you get from the mega cities, and eventhe provincial capitals, the bigger the problem gets...

我自己在中国生活了10多年，我可以告诉你，中国农村孩子中有很大一部分缺乏教育。离大城市，甚至省会城市越远，这个问题就越严重……

john128
Very good, John X Smith, thanks.
The Youtube channel "ChinaUncensored" is attacked as vigorously by that government's home-grown "50-centarmy" as our own forums here in the U.S. are targeted by Rus/Sov agents(duped and/or paid Americans) who post on behalf of the GRU/SVR/FSB agentrunners who lead them on.

很好，John X Smith，谢谢。
Youtube频道“中国不审查”受到中国政府本土“五毛大军”的猛烈攻击，就像我们自己在美国的论坛受到俄罗斯/苏联特工（受骗和/或被收买的美国人）的攻击一样。

locke_
Keep in mind that education is mostly paidby state and local agencies, not the Federal government, The per studenteducation expenditure is higher than most of Europe and Asia at around $12,500each. Money isn't the problem in education, it's the school systems themselvesand the way they've lowered expectations and results. 50 years ago a highschool graduate was fairly well educated which isn't the case now.

请记住，教育大部分是由州和地方机构支付的，而不是联邦政府，每个学生的教育支出比欧洲和亚洲大多数国家都要高，每个学生约12500美元。教育的问题不在于钱，而在于学校体系本身，以及他们降低期望和结果的方式。50年前，一个高中毕业生受过良好的教育，但现在不是这样了。

edgyinchina
Please define 'How exactly' is China'seconomy at a 'tipping point' ? ? ? ?

请说明中国经济“究竟”怎么就处在“临界点”上了？？？？

john128
jamalwhitedc, the only people who matter tothe owners of China are themselves, their friends, and their families andchildren and grandchildren.
China as it exists today has almostliterally taken ownership of the economies of most Pacific Rim countries, and Iassure you those owners are not good-natured hegemons.
If you look beyond the mask on the face itpresents to the Western world and then look into the lives of its subjectpeople (because they are surely not citizens in any modern understanding of that word), you will see a hellscape ofsubjugation, surveillance, thought-control, intimidation and brutality thatwould shock Orwell.
The owners plot and fight against eachother for power and influence, and sometimes they talk to us ... but maybe notso much now that a U.S. President with business interests in China might betraythem to his future benefactors.

jamalwhitedc，对中国的所有者们来说，唯一重要的人是他们自己，他们的朋友，他们的家人，孩子和孙子。
如今的中国几乎完全掌控了大多数环太平洋国家的经济，我向你们保证，这些经济体的所有者并非善意的霸主。
如果你看穿中国向西方世界所展示的面具，然后观察其主体的生活（因为它们肯定不是公民在任何现代对这个词的理解），您将看到一个征服、监控、思想控制、恐吓和暴力的让奥威尔感到震惊的地狱场景。
所有者们为了权力和影响力而密谋并互相争斗，有时他们和我们交谈……但现在可能还没有到这样的程度，因为在中国有商业利益的美国总统可能会把这些利益出卖给他未来的恩人。

realsoldier
The US electorate turned down freecommunity college for the promise of more jobs in the coal mines and nonexisting steel mills. it's obvious that "make America Great Again"slogan just means lets get back to the 50's and 60's were minorities knew theirplace.

美国选民拒绝接受免费社区大学的录取，因为后者承诺在煤矿和非现有钢铁厂提供更多就业机会。很明显，“让美国再次伟大”的口号仅仅意味着让我们回到五六十年代，少数族群知道他们的位置。

Christopher Bogart
Lol. How much debt in college tuition doesthe US have? Meanwhile we have been pleading for more skilled workers for thelast 20 years.

呵呵，美国大学学费中有多少债务？与此同时，在过去20年里，我们一直在争取更多的技术工人。

DividedWeStand
Do you know how you win a trade war withChina?
BY ENLISTING OUR DEMOCRATIC ALLIES.
Why is Trump such a class moron? Instead ofcorralling the Europeans, Canadians and Australians to put pressure on our mutual adversary, heinstead does the bidding of Daddy Vladdy and alienates our best friends.

你知道你如何才能打赢与中国的贸易战吗？
——通过拉拢我们的民主同盟。
为什么特朗普是一个阶级白痴？他没有召集欧洲人、加拿大人和澳大利亚人对我们共同的对手施压，而是听从弗拉德迪老爹的命令，疏远了我们最好的朋友。

alwayssunnyin seattle
Self-interest trumps allies every time. TheEU is China’s biggest trade partner, while China is now the EU’s second biggesttrade partner after the US. China has invested $235 billion in the EU whileinvesting only $103 billion in the US. Against Obama's wishes, nearly allEuropean countries joined the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. Improvingconnectivity between European ports, many roads and train routes under the Beltand Road Initiative would end up in Europe and link up Eurasia. Once completed,the BRI could cover over 4.4 billion people and generate a GDP of over $21trillion.

自私自利总是胜过盟友。欧盟是中国最大的贸易伙伴，而中国目前是欧盟第二大贸易伙伴，仅次于美国。中国在欧盟的投资为2350亿美元，而在美国的投资仅为1030亿美元。几乎所有欧洲国家都违背了奥巴马的意愿，加入了亚洲基础设施投资银行。在“一带一路”倡议下，改善欧洲港口、多条公路和铁路之间的互联互通，最终将抵达欧洲，连接欧亚大陆。一旦建成，“一带一路”将覆盖44亿人口，GDP将超过21万亿美元。



dnjakewp
The United States is the only nation in theworld with an ambition for global political and economic dominance. China is the world's most populousnation. Over the last quarter century ithas become the world's second largest economy. There is no prospect of China taking over America's role. But, China is well positioned to frustrateall of the Post opinion writers who think they have the potency to dominate theworld. China has reached a level ofsuccess where its destiny is in its own hands. The American military could not defeat the Chinese even half a centuryago when Douglas MacArthur's aggression provoked a Chinese military response inNorth Korea. Perhaps there is a littlemore reality to the idea that American economic aggression could relegate theChinese to a perpetual second class economy. But the level of integration of China with the American economy and therest of the global economy is already at a level that the cost to the UnitedStates of trying to isolate the Chinese economy from the rest of the worldwould be immense. That is why DonaldTrump retreated from the arbitrary excessive penalty to ZTE and the long termdamage the imposition of that penalty would have done to American Chineserelations. Clearly the United StatesSenate is filled with thugs who have fantasies about the extent of theirpotency. China is well advised to goabout its own business and avoid their destructive impulses as much as theycan.

美国是世界上唯一一个雄心勃勃地要在全球政治和经济中占据主导地位的国家。中国是世界上人口最多的国家。在过去的25年里，中国已经成为世界第二大经济体。中国不可能取代美国的角色。但是，中国已经做好了挫败所有那些认为自己有能力主宰世界的后舆论作家的准备。中国已经取得了一定程度的成功，其命运掌握在自己手中。半个世纪前，当道格拉斯•麦克阿瑟的侵略在朝鲜激起中国军方的回应时，美国军方甚至未能击败中国。或许，美国的经济侵略可能会让中国沦为永久的二等经济，这种观点更现实一些。但是，中国与美国经济和全球经济的融合已经达到了美国试图将中国经济与世界其他地区隔离开来要付出巨大代价的程度。正因为如此，唐纳德•特朗普才放弃了对中兴通讯的某些过度惩罚，这种处罚会对美国与中国的关系造成长期损害。很明显，美国参议院中充斥着暴徒，他们幻想着自己的势力范围。中国最好还是走自己的路，尽可能避免他们的破坏性冲动。

ThosCF
No stupid, Trump gave in on ZTE because hewas paid.
And it wasn't an arbitrary penalty. The company was allowed to purchase partsfrom a US supplier if they followed rules laid down involving not doingbusiness with Iran and North Korea. Thecompany decided to break those rules and was initially penalized. Then they were caught again and paid theultimate price until Don "Putin" Trump received his payoff and letthem skate.

不傻，特朗普放弃了中兴通讯，因为他得到了报酬。
这不是任意的惩罚。如果一家美国供应商遵守不与伊朗和朝鲜做生意的规定，那么中兴就向前者购买零部件，再转卖给后者。则该公司决定违反这些规定，最初受到处罚。然后他们又被抓了起来，付出了最终的代价，直到唐•“普京”•特朗普得到了报酬，并放了他们一马。

Bigfrog
China is smart and playing the long gamemeanwhile Trump is dumb and playing an extremely short game.

中国很聪明，玩的是长期游戏，而特朗普很傻，玩的是短期游戏。

Giantsmax
Trump is not playing a short game--he hasit all planned out well into October

特朗普并不是在玩一场短期游戏——他已经把这一切计划制定到10月份了

Christopher Bogart
Spoken like a true American. So selfassured in their ignorance.

说得像一个真正的美国人。在他们的无知中是如此自信。

britneybroccolispears
This is just a tactic to get people to lookaway while they take over the world. It's easier to do their work while peoplearen't tipped off. Keep it under the radar. Meanwhile, they are making progresson all continents.

这只是一种策略，让人们在他们接管世界的时候转移视线。在别人不知情的情况下，他们更容易完成工作。与此同时，他们正在各大洲取得进展。

Narq
"China: Don’t be alarmed, we’re notthat great."
Don't have to be, cuz... Trump. So, it'sall relative.

“中国：不要大惊小怪，我们没那么强大。”
不必，因为……特朗普。所以,这都是相对的。

john128
I enjoy the YouTube channel, "ChinaUncensored", and i've got no illusions at all about the vicious, greedyold men who run things over there.
They disgrace the ancestors and theirmillionaire/billionaire children are just as bad.
The owners of China are not our friends.

我喜欢YouTube上的“中国不审查”频道，我对那些在那里经营事情的邪恶、贪婪的老家伙一点也不抱幻想。
他们羞辱祖先，并且他们的百万富翁/亿万富翁后代也一样坏。
中国的主人不是我们的朋友。

dgl5364
They don't need to swagger, given the sizeof their market, they produce many U.S. products and hold over $1 trillion inAmerican debt.

鉴于他们的市场规模，他们不需要趾高气扬，他们生产许多美国产品，持有超过1万亿美元的美国债务。

dr.who3
When playing cards, and you've just beendealt 4 aces, it's not the time to start boasting. You wait until you've milked the otherplayers, then lay down your cards.
Even novice poker players know this.

当你在打牌的时候，你刚刚得到了4张a，现在不是吹嘘的时候。直等到你榨光了其他玩家的好牌，然后放下你的牌。
甚至扑克新手也知道这一点。

Conservative-Democrat
With only 500 nukes. The US has hardly anything to worry about.
Russia on the other hand would probablyrisk being turned into a giant glass parking lot, and take Europe and the USalong with it, rather than go bankrupt from sanctions.

中国只有500枚核武器。美国几乎没什么可担心的。
另一方面，俄罗斯可能会冒着被变成一个巨大的玻璃停车场的风险，把欧洲和美国一起拉下水，而不是因为制裁而破产。

Giantsmax
Sanctions do not work well with Russia,they have too many natural resources and too educated a population.

制裁对俄罗斯的作用并不好，他们拥有太多的自然资源，国民受教育程度也太高。

Craig+Dangle
US should continue to apply "wartrade" on China , 100% theirdominant dream is going to hell. Go US let China to be taking apart .......

美国应该继续对中国实施“战争贸易”，他们占主导地位的梦想100%将化为泡影。去吧，美帝，把中国拆了……

rahj2001
Art of War anyone? Classic rhetoric. Implythat you are weak, while continuing to build strength and stealing or acquiringyour adversaries resources. Meanwhile, China is buying up everything they canget their hands on in Africa. Ha... you are truly blind if you can't see thismove.

《孙子兵法》吗？经典的言论。暗示你很软弱，同时继续建立力量，窃取或获取对手的资源。与此同时，中国正在收购他们在非洲能够得到的一切。哈……如果你看不见这个动作，那你就是瞎了眼。

Giantsmax
I see all these pictures of newinfrastructure in China, bridges, hi speed rail, so many things. They may notbe great they say, but their infrastructure puts the US to shame in many ways.

我看到了中国新基础设施的照片，桥梁，高速铁路等等。他们可能没他们说得那么强大，但他们的基础设施在很多方面让美国蒙羞。

SingingMangoes
Their growth and their manufacturing put usto shame.

他们的增长和制造业让我们感到羞愧。

SingingMangoes
China's worst GDP growth for the last 25years is better than our best growth.
They are the number 1 threat to ourfuture... Make no doubt about it.
if there were a war, we would be theweakling cause they can out manufacture us big time.

中国在过去25年里最糟糕的GDP增长都比我们最好的增长要好。
他们是我们未来的头号威胁……不要怀疑这一点。
如果发生战争，我们将是弱者，因为他们制造能力远超我们。



Bradley G
And the US has over 4,000 nuclear warheadsof which 1,400+ are actively deployed. China doesn't want a part of thatexchange anymore than we do.

美国拥有4000多枚核弹头，其中1400多枚正在积极部署。中国不像我们一样希望参与这种“交流”。

SingingMangoes
paramilitary Nazis?
Black nationalists should be much moreconcerned about people who look just like them.. Cause those are the onesmurdering each other.

准军事纳粹?
黑人民族主义者应该更关心那些长得像他们的人。因为他们是互相谋杀的人。

Giantsmax
It is just different philosophy--to me whatwould make us great is if we care about our citizens, provide affordablehealthcare, education, homes, good jobs, take care of our young and elderly,are in a lot less wars and covert ops around the globe, have less overseasmilitary bases, if we encourage good relations with all countries, no matter ifcurrently regarded as friend or foe.
etc etc
To me that would be a great America.

只是不同的哲学——对我来说，让美国伟大指的是如果我们关心我们的公民，提供负担得起的医疗保健、教育、家庭、好工作，照顾我们的年轻人和老年人，大幅减少战争和隐蔽的全球行动，减少海外军事基地，我们鼓励与所有国家开展良好的关系，无论目前认为是朋友还是敌人的国家。
等等等等
对我来说，那将是一个伟大的美国。