越南能否在经济上成为下一个中国？ [美国媒体]

Is Vietnam the next China economy?

越南能否在经济上成为下一个中国？



回答1
Thuong Tran, Born in Vietnam, live in 'Murica; Patriot to both!
Answered Sep 14, 2017
There's many similarities but also key differences between Vietnam and China, saying Vietnam is the next China economy has some truth to it, but I don't think so completely.Similarities:• Post Communist, socialist states which have opened up to free markets ever since reforms• Very similar political system (both have a Communist party)• Large populations• Rapid GDP growthDifferences:• China’s population is around 15 times bigger than Vietnam’s• Etc.

越南和中国之间有着许多的相似之处，但是他们之间也有着一些关键的区别，预言越南在经济方面成为下一个中国有着一定的道理，但我对此并不完全赞同。
相似之处：后GC主义，社会主义国家，两国都实行了改革开放，迎来了自由市场。2，非常类似的政治制度。3，大量的人口。4，GDP的增长速度都非常之快。5，等等
不同之处：1，中国人口大约是越南的15倍。2，等等



回答2
Anonymous
Answered May 22, 2017
Vietnam has the same political structure as China, therefore it could learn from China’s growth experience without any pain.Vietnamese are highly influenced by Chinese culture, they believe in the fact that working hard can bring them prosperity. They are willing to learn and work hard the same as Chinese. Therefore there’s high chance that they will grow rich some day in the near future.As a Chinese, I would say that I do not like Vietnam that much because Vietnamese hate China due to their education system. And Vietnam was too aggressive (that’s probably a culture) in the past and the aggressiveness did hurt China’s interests & benefits. But this doesn’t mean that they cannot and should not become rich some day.Even Vietnam got rich, it will not have the same power and influence as what China economy have today due to the limited resources and population. It could be still a strong existence in SEA without any question.

越南与中国有着相同的政治结构，因此它可以从中国的增长经验中学到很多，而且不会在模仿的过程中感受到阵痛。越南人深受中国文化的影响，他们相信努力工作会为他们带来繁荣。他们就像中国人一样，愿意刻苦学习，努力工作。因此，我相信，在不久的将来，他们很可能会变得富裕起来。作为一个中国人，我不太喜欢越南，因为他们的教育体系正在教导越南人讨厌中国。而且越南在过去显得太过好斗了（这可能是一种文化现象），而这种好斗也确实损害了中国的利益。但是这并不意味着他们不能或者不应该在有朝一日变得富裕起来。不过即便越南变得富有了，它也无法拥有如今的中国经济所拥有的权力和影响力，毕竟他们有拥有的资源和人口都是非常有限的。不过它仍然可以在南中国海区域成为一个强大的存在，这是毋庸置疑的。

回答3
Đại Nguyên Trần, studied at Proffesor of Physics
Updated Aug 11
Vietnam as a member of many major free trade areas in the world, with large area, diverse population, cheap labor and in the center of the three big Asian countries (China, India, Indonesia), offers major advantages.The economy of Vietnam is the 47th largest economy in the world measured by GDP (norminal) and 35th largest in the world measured by GDP(PPP). According to a forecast by PricewaterhouseCoopers, Vietnam may be the fastest-growing of the world's economies, with a potential annual GDP growth rate of about 5.1%, which would make its economy the 19th largest in the world by 2050.

越南是世界上许多主要的自由贸易区的成员之一，我们拥有大量的土地面积，多样化的人口以及廉价的劳动力，并且地处三个亚洲大国（中国，印度，印度尼西亚）的中心位置，这为我们提供了一个巨大的优势。以GDP计算的话，越南是世界第47大经济体，按PPP计算的话，越南是世界第35大经济体。根据普华永道的预测，越南可能会成为世界上增长速度最快的经济体，其潜在的年5.1%的GDP增长速率将会使它在2050年成为世界第19大经济体。



回答5
Quang Nguyen, lives in Vietnam
Answered Aug 6
No and never. China is more than a country, it’s a longest dominant superpower in the whole civil history. However Vietnam definitively has chance to become a developed and advanced country, like Japan now.The necessity conditions to be an economic superpower are LAND and PEOPLE living in that land. Roma, Mongol, Spain, UK, France, US, China, India had both but now only US, China, India can keep them. Russia, Brazil have land but not many people (maybe that change in the future?). German, Japan had land and people but for very short time during WWII.Now countries’ borders are and will be almost fixed so Vietnam can never be able to have more land than it has now, so never we will be an economic superpower. What we need is to become a developed and advanced country and able to defend our current land and sea, kind of S. Korea or Israel. It’s attainable but not easy at all.

永远都不可能。中国不仅仅是一个国家，她是人类文明历史以来最长久的超级大国。然而，越南也确实有机会像如今的日本一样，发展成为一个发达国家。在经济方面成为一个超级大国最主要的条件就是土地，以及生活在这片土地上的人们。罗马，蒙古，西班牙，英国，法国，美国，中国，印度都曾经具备过这两个条件，而如今只有美国，中国，印度将这些条件保留了下来。俄罗斯，巴西拥有庞大的土地，但却没有足够多的人口（也许未来这一点会发生变化？）。德国和日本在二战期间曾经短暂地拥有过足够多的土地和人口。而如今，国家之间的边界几乎已经完全固定下来了，所以越南永远都无法拥有比现在更多的土地，因此我们永远都无法成为一个经济上的超级大国。我们需要做的是将越南发展成为一个发达国家，并且让自己有能力保卫自己现在的陆地和海域，就像韩国和以色列所做到的那样。这一切都可以被实现，但是这并不容易。

回答6
Duc Thanh Nguyen, Just a person who want to know more and say more
Answered May 20, 2017
Nope for its entirety, as China by now (or perhaps for a long time) have tapped into one of their most unique strength: Their scale. In another word, their 3rd-largest area and their largest population is slowly, but surely, become a distinct advantage rather than mainly a hurdle. This is something Vietnam could hardly considered equal or even similar.But yes, for how it start becoming a middle class nation.

这种说法并不确切，如今的中国（或者说在很长的一段时间里）已经挖掘出了他们最独特的力量之一：他们的规模。换句话说，他们世界第三大的国土面积以及世界最大的人口规模正慢慢地转换成为一个非常明显的优势，而不是一个障碍。越南很难在这方面与其相提并论，甚至连相似都算不上。不过，是的，它还是可以在成为一个中产阶级国家这方面成为下一个中国的。



回答9
Алексей Викторович Алексеев
Answered Aug 20
No, that’s highly unlikely. China just happened to have the required resources to run a world-scale factory. Namely, the last huge deposits of easily extractable coal as well as metals, rare earth elements, etc. Pretty much the only thing they lack a great deal is petroleum.

不，这种情况出现的可能微乎其微。中国刚好具备了足够的资源去经营一家世界级的工厂。也就是说，他们拥有了最后一些可供大量采取的煤矿资源，此外还有金属，稀土元素等等，他们唯一缺少的就是石油。