15种工作将因为人工智能技术在20年内消失（正文） [美国媒体]

15 Jobs That Will Disappear In The Next 20 Years Due To AI

15种工作将因为人工智能技术在20年内消失

I know that for some the future is incredibly exciting filled with new technologies and new opportunities, but for some the future doesn’t look as bright and we want to raise some concerns with you guys!

我知道，对一些人来说，充满新技术和新机遇的未来是令人难以置信的激动人心，但对一些人来说，未来看起来不那么光明，我们想向你们提出一些担忧!

A study done at Oxford University found out that 45% of all current jobs will disappear in the next 10 year with some of them being completely automated or at least upgraded to a point where a fraction of the workforce is needed.

牛津大学的一项研究发现，在未来10年内，45%的现有工作将消失，其中一些工作将完全自动化，或至少升级到只需要一小部分劳动力的水平。

So, this will greatly impact the way you plan for the future as the environment is changing!
In this video we’ll go through just some of the jobs that will radically change in the upcoming decade and the years to follow.

因此，随着环境的变化，这将极大地影响你对未来的规划方式!
在这段视频中，我们将介绍一些在未来十年和未来几年将发生根本性变化的工作。

If you’re currently working in either of these industries it might be a smart call to look for alternatives, don’t say we didn’t warn you!

如果你目前在这两些行业中的任何一个里工作，寻找替代品可能是一个明智的选择，不要说我们没有警告你!

With that said, here are 15 Jobs that will probably be disappear or be automated in the next 10 to 20 years!

根据这个说法，以下15个工作岗位可能会在未来10到20年内消失或被自动化!



Number 1:Drivers
Let me put it this way, if your job consists in driving any type of machinery, automobile or vehicle, you’re gonna be out of a job soon.

1，司机
让我这么说吧，如果你的工作是驾驶任何类型的机械，机动车或交通工具，你很快就会失业。



In the near future, riding a car will be like getting in an elevator. You just press a button and it takes you to wherever you want to go.

在不久的将来，开车就像坐电梯一样。你只要按下一个按钮，它就会把你带到任何你想去的地方。

Now, what’s going to happen to the estimated 20 million to have their livelihoods based on being active drivers?

现在，估计有2000万人的生计是建立在人力驾驶的基础上的，他们将会发生什么呢?

These people will need to reinvent themselves multiple times in a row! This might be easy if you’re currently a 20-30 year old, but what will a 50+ years old taxidriver be able to readapt to?

这些人需要连续多次重塑自我!如果你现在是20-30岁，这可能很容易，但一个50岁以上的出租车司机能适应什么呢?

Not sure that these people will be able to switch from taxi driving to 3d modeling for virtual worlds, but we’ll see.

不确定这些人是否能够从出租车驾驶转换到虚拟世界的3d建模，但我们将拭目以待。

Number 2: Farmers
Farming was huge when it came to employment numbers back in the day! This has changed dramatically.



2，农民
在过往的就业数字中，农业从业人员数字是巨大的。但这种情况发生了戏剧性的变化。

You might still see farming as a human-labour intensive in the undeveloped parts of the world, but on a macro level, this has already been automated and very few specially trained individuals that operate heavy machinery from the comforts of the office via wireless connections.

在世界上不发达的地区，你可能仍然认为农业是人类劳动密集型产业，但从宏观上看，农业已经实现了自动化，很少有受过专门训练的人通过无线连接在舒适的办公室里操作重型机械。



Anything you eat comes from one of them. These companies — Nestlé, PepsiCo, Coca-Cola, Unilever, Danone, General Mills, Kellogg’s, Mars, Associated British Foods, and Mondelez

你吃的任何东西都来自其中之一。这些公司是——雀巢、百事可乐、可口可乐、联合利华、达能、通用磨坊、家乐氏、玛氏、联合英国食品公司和亿滋

Number 3: Printers & Publishers
The newspaper is dead, traditional media is suffering as the internet is eating everything up.



Unless you’re in your 50s or more, you’re unlikely to get your news from TV Networks.

除非你已经50多岁了，否则你不太可能从电视上获取新闻。

Number 4: Cashiers
America alone, has 8 million people working as cashiers and in store salespersons.



Number 5: Travel Agents
When’s the last time you went to a travel agency to book a flight?



5，旅行社
你上次去旅行社订机票是什么时候?

The likes of Skyscanner took over the flight tickets industry, Booking.com over the hotel booking industry and Airbnb is disrupting the hotel business as a whole.

Skyscanner等公司接管了机票行业，Booking.com接管了酒店预订行业，而Airbnb正在打乱整个酒店业务。

There is no need for a 3rd person to book the flight or hotel room for us, we can do it ourselves, or better yet, you can tell SIRI to book it for you.

不需要第三方为我们预订机票或酒店房间，我们可以自己预订，或者更好的是，你可以让SIRI帮你预订。



The factory of the future will only have 1 human and 1 dog. The human will be there to feed the dog and the dog will be there to keep the human from touching the machines!

未来的工厂只有一个人和一条狗。人会在那里喂狗，狗会在那里阻止人触摸机器!



Number 8: Waiting tables & Bartending
Ok, not all of them will be gone, but the bulk surely have one foot out the door already.



10，飞行员&士兵
军队是最可感知的创新行业！它是第一个拥抱它并部署创新的。



Number 11: Fast-food workers
Remember when people were asking for 15 dollars an hour to work at McDonalds?!



Number 13: Accountants & Tax Preparers
If it’s one thing we’ve learned so far from this list is that Boring and Repetitive jobs will be taken over by algorithms.



13，会计师&税务代理人
如果说到目前为止我们从这个列表中学到了什么的话，那就是枯燥重复的工作将会被算法取代。

What is the role of an accountant? To go through your raw data and organize it. That’s like the favorite thing to do for algorithms, that’s where they shine baby!
The average accountant in the US earns around 60,000 dollars per year and there are 1.3 million registered accountants and auditors.

会计的角色是什么?浏览原始数据并进行组织。这是算法最喜欢做的事情，那是它们发光的地方!
美国的会计师平均年收入约为6万美元，注册会计师和审计师共有130万名。

Even if it would cost 15 billion dollars to create a highly sophisticated AI that would get the job done perfectly, that piece of software would pay for itself in under 2 years.

即使要花费150亿美元来创造一个高度精密的人工智能，使其完美地完成工作，那一款软件也能在2年内收回成本。

Number 14: Stock Traders
Long are the days of Jordan Belfort & Gordon Gekko. A study made by Bloomberg analysts in the late 2015s discovered that only 10% of the stocks traded on the daily basis, worldwide, are traded by actual humans and investors. The rest, BOTS!



Number 15: Construction Workers
Although the numbers are not clear, there are at least 200 million people working construction around the world and with developing countries wanting to expand you’d expect the number to be on the rise.



Number 16: Movie Stars
You’d expect people from the creative end of the spectrum to be safe from automation, but you’d be wrong.



16，电影明星
你可能会认为那些来自创意领域的人不会受到自动化的影响，但你错了。

Human actors are really really expensive and as most humans, their lives have ups and downs. When you’re investing a couple hundred million dollars in a production or even more, you wouldn’t want that project to be influenced by a particular individual.

人类演员真的非常非常昂贵，和大多数人类一样，他们的生活也有起起落落。当你在一个产品上投资数亿美元甚至更多的时候，你不会希望这个项目受到某个特定个人的影响。

More and more blockbusters are animations, because those characters do not age, do not complain and can be easily monetized.

越来越多的大片是动画，因为这些角色不会变老，不会抱怨，而且很容易赚钱。

What about big movies? Let’s take any iron man movie, robert downey jr. is less on screen than his CGI counterpart.

大电影怎么样?让我们以任意一部钢铁侠电影为例，小罗伯特·唐尼在银幕上的表现都不如他的CGI原型。

Soon enough actors will sell a 3D render of their persona to big tech companies and there will be no need for them to show up on set. They will just generate them in the scene!

很快，演员们就会把他们的角色3D渲染卖给大型科技公司，这样他们就不需要出现在片场了。

Mind Blowing right?

给人印象极深的是吧?