你如何看待中国的未来发展? [美国媒体]

quora网友:中国充满了问题。是的,过去40年来中国在经济增长上创造了奇迹,但是接下来要走向何方?我向那些对中国自1970年代以来所取得成就感到惊讶的人们说了无数次,今天我在这里再说一次:是的,是很棒;但是我们理性点......

What do you think of China's future?

你如何看待中国的未来发展?



Mo Chen, lives in China (1989-present)
Answered Tue
Eh…
China is problem ridden. Very much so.
Yes, it has performed miracles in its growth for the last 40 years. But… where to go next?
I’ve said it countless times to people who marveled at the amazing feat China managed to pull off from the 1970s to today, and I say it again here: yes, yes, it’s great; but let’s be rational about it — China did it only because how much it was behind.
Foreigners come to China and go “wow!” was only because they were thinking unreasonably low of it prior to the visit!

中国充满了问题。是的,过去40年来中国在经济增长上创造了奇迹,但是接下来要走向何方?我向那些对中国自1970年代以来所取得成就感到惊讶的人们说了无数次,今天我在这里再说一次:是的,是很棒;但是我们理性点,中国之所以这么成功是因为当时的中国确实太落后了。现在外国人来中国,被中国的景象所震惊,那只是因为他们在来到中国之前不合理的认为中国很落后。



Now, I notices folk in this question mentioned Japan’s anticipation to overtake the USA in the 1980s, and of course that attempt was shattered by the 1989 Plaza Accord. (Although everyone kind of knows it’s massing a huge bubble, the Plaza Accord just kind of popped the bubble prematurely)
I just want to add here how Japan’s success story inspired China in the 1980s and 1990s.
We are kind of Communist Country (we are not, but…) and we study the Communism Doctrine. And that means we analyze things through the lens of Marxism’s basic pattern of human society evolution. Long story short, before Japan made its success, we were… kind of pessimistic.

现在,我发现提问者提到了在80年代预感超越美国,当然这一努力被1989年的广场协议摧毁了。大家都知道日本当时在积累巨大的泡沫,而广场协议永远的刺破了这个泡沫。
我想说的是日本的成功故事如何激励了八九十年代的中国。
也就是说我们通过马克思的人类社会变革的基本模型视角来分析问题。长话短说,在日本成功之前,我们有点悲观。



You think all Deng Xiaoping did was having some table tennis with Nixon, opened up some ports in Southern China? The leadership back then did a whole lot of things that are not well known in the west.
Screw ideology! Screw system! Screw “everyone should be equal”!
Really? It surprises you? China suddenly has all that new gizmo and gadgets? Do you think all of that happens overnight?
We worked hard for 40 years for today.
40 fucking years.
And you just noticed it now?
It will be interesting to see where China is headed.
I witnessed all of that by myself, and I shall continue to witness a little more.

当时的中国做了很多事情,但是西方都不知道。
去它的意识形态,去它的体系,去它的“人人平等”!
让你感到惊讶了吗?中国一夜之间就拥有了所有那些新玩意?你认为这发生在一夜之间?
我们努力奋斗了40年才有了今天。40年啊。而你到现在才注意到?所以中国将走向何方,这是非常有意思的。我自己亲眼目睹了这一切,还会继续见证下去。

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