【下】中国将裁减一半陆军，增加海军和空军规模，作为“前所未有”战略转变的一部分 [美国媒体]

中国将裁减一半陆军，增加海军和空军规模，作为“前所未有”战略转变的一部分



The_Emigrant
It's all part of the Nine Dash Line strategy. China is determined to defend this predatory territory grab with extreme measures. When most of the outposts are small islands surrounding a large area of ocean, sea/air forces make much more sense than tanks and infantry.

这都是九段线策略的一部分。中国决心采取极端措施捍卫这种掠夺性的领土霸占行为。当大多数前哨是围绕着大片海洋的小岛时，海空军比坦克和步兵更有意义。
（注：九段线是中国对南海海域权益边界的一种画法。在中华人民共和国版图中，在南中国海里有条由9条断续线组成的U形线，通常称为九段线，线内区域为中国南海。因此，九段线区分了南中国海/面积350万平方公里 ，与中国南海/面积210万平方公里）

robman8855
Don’t forget about the southern border. Laos Cambodia and the other countries there have a combined military force to rival China (in number moreso than tech)

别忘了南部边境。老挝、柬埔寨和其他国家联合起来的军事力量可以与中国抗衡(数量上超过技术力量)



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Mozorelo
They can't go toe to toe with the US by they can with Russia.
Russia is a resource rich country with a large landmass but a comparatively low population, weak military and weak economy. Their only strong point are the nukes but they're being questioned every day about how they can even afford them.
If I was the dear leader of China I would be encouraging the separatism of Asian Russians. They hate Moscow anyway and if they're split they can come under the chinasphere. That way no military action is needed but they still win.

他们不能像与俄罗斯那样，与美国针锋相对。
俄罗斯是一个资源丰富的国家，国土面积大，但人口相对较少，军事和经济实力较弱。他们唯一的优势是核武器，但他们每天都在被质疑，他们怎么能负担得起核武器。
如果我是中国亲爱的领导人，我会鼓励亚裔俄罗斯人的分裂主义。无论如何，他们憎恨莫斯科，如果分裂了他们就会被归入中国。这样就不需要采取军事行动，但仍然是赢了。

NorthernerWuwu
They also can raise a large albeit mostly untrained army at a moment's notice. There isn't really the incentive to maintain the mammoth standing army for defensive purposes beyond civilian pacification and oddly enough, the people seem to be pretty placated for now.

他们（中国）还可以在接到通知的一瞬间组建一支庞大的军队，尽管大部分是未经训练的陆军。除了平定平民之外，并没有真正的动机去维持庞大的常备军以达到防御目的。奇怪的是，人民现在似乎很平静。



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dangerousbob
the Russians did this years ago, or started the shift away from Soviet style war doctrine.
modern armies are small high tech units, not giant hordes of conscripts

俄罗斯人几年前就这么做了，或者是开始了对苏联式战争理论的转变。
现代军队是小型高科技部队，而不是庞大的征兵大军。

cjhoiten
Economic and cyber are the biggest 21st century warfronts. I don't know why we haven't figured that out as a country yet

经济和网络是21世纪最大的战场。我不知道为什么我们作为一个国家还没有搞清楚这一点。

Sheepofwallstreet11
Yeah but trade wars are easy to win, right?

是的，但是贸易战很容易赢，对吧?



CustomThemesOff
What is a 1000 with crappy guns gonna do to a modern tank or a gunship?
How you going to occupy 3 towns with a tank? Holding ground is as important as taking it.

拿着破枪的1000人部队能对一辆现代坦克或一架武装直升机造成什么影响?
你打算如何用坦克占领3个城镇?坚守阵地和占领阵地同样重要。

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cl1xor
China is looking at the Crimea and the world unable/unwilling to so something about it.
As a matter of fact. The world about the Crimea “they are practically Russian” is exactly what China is saying about Taiwan.

中国正盯着克里米亚，而世界无法/不愿看到这样的事情发生。
事实上，世界认为克里米亚“他们实际上是俄罗斯人”，这正是中国对台湾的看法。

ThoseMeddlingCows
They’re sorely mistaken though. Taiwan is an economic powerhouse of its own and it is located in a geostrategically important location.

但他们大错特错了。台湾是一个经济强国，位于重要的地理位置。

dankerbros
Which makes it an even larger target for the Chinese. If China can take over Taiwan, they will have near uncontested supremacy in Asia given it's location in the Pacific Rim.

这使得它成为中国更大的目标。如果中国能够接管台湾，鉴于台湾在环太平洋地区的位置，他们将在亚洲拥有几乎无可争议的霸权。



KBSuks
There’s a big difference between Taiwan and Crimea.Ukraine broke away from Russia and didn’t establish actual relations to help before Russia took its land.
In the case of Taiwan they’re well within the US sphere of influence. They even host bases from time to time as need arises and the US has a specific department dedicated tot heir defenses which just upgraded their systems. Not only that they are like Israel where they have military training for most of their citizens from ages 18-24(before or after college). They also have high combat readiness procedures. Trying to take the island by force would likely be an unfavorable bloodbath that’s unnecessary. They know this so they’ve instead attempted to woo the Taiwanese and intimidate them as their main strategies.
China’s not stupid. They aren’t going to make a move like that.

台湾和克里米亚有很大的不同。
乌克兰脱离俄罗斯，在俄罗斯占领乌克兰领土之前，乌克兰没有与俄罗斯建立真正的关系。
就台湾而言，它们完全在美国的势力范围之内。在需要的时候，他们甚至会时不时地部署基地，而美国有专门的部门负责后继防御系统的升级。这不仅仅是因为他们和以色列一样，为18-24岁(大学前或大学后)的大多数公民提供军事训练。他们也有高度的战备程序。试图用武力夺取该岛可能是一场不必要的糟糕的大屠杀。中国知道这一点，所以他们试图拉拢台湾人，恐吓他们，以此作为其主要策略。
中国不傻。他们不会做出那样的举动。

tat310879
Depends. If Taiwan decides to hold a referendum on independence like the current government is toying with, all bets are off.
After that, we will be witnessing a battle of wills really. How wants Taiwan more? Who really want to risk getting their cities burned in nuclear to defend or take that island.

视情况而定。如果台湾决定像当前政府那样，就独立问题举行公投，那么一切都完了。
在那之后，我们将见证一场真正的意志之战。台湾还想要什么?他们真的想冒着城市被核烧毁的危险来保卫或占领那个岛屿。