以色列可以争取到中国吗？ [美国媒体]

Can Israel Win Over China?

以色列可以争取到中国吗？



A few weeks ago I wrote a post about Israel China investment future.  This was right before a week full of events I attended to.

几周前我写了一篇有关以色列的中国投资前景的文章。那是我在参加了一整周的活动之前写的。

When invited by Sino-Israel Global Network & Academic Leadership (SIGNAL) to sit at a round table on Israel’s China policy, I didn’t really know what to expect frankly. As a fast paced entrepreneur, dealing with something like policy seemed like a slow thing that would take ages to change and would belong to my parents’ generation. Something belonging to the “old world” with the old “order”.

被邀请参加中以全球网络和学术领袖会议的我坐在圆桌上讨论以色列的中国政策，坦白说我真的没有什么好期待的。作为一个脾气急躁的企业家，在面对政策这样的事情时我觉得节奏太慢了，因为政策要花几代人的时间才能改变，这是我父母那一代的事物。一个属于“旧世界”的旧“秩序”的事物。

How does policy making work in the internet era? Diplomacy is a slow industry…

政策制定如何在互联网时代运作？外交是个迟钝的行业。。。

Well, surprise here! Policy and strategy are fast changing relevant words for today’s world. Perhaps not as fast as sending a WeChat message but still, you feel the move and you feel the excitement behind when discussing them. Why? Because discussions over such issues can move mountains when they reach the right ears.

但是惊喜出现了！对于如今的世界来说，政策和战略是快速变化的具有重大意义的词汇。或许没有像发微信那么快，但是当你在讨论这些问题时，你依然可以感受到变化及其背后令人兴奋的感觉。为什么？因为这类问题的讨论在被正确的人听到时可以产生地动山摇的作用。

One of the main questions I’ve been asking myself, which also came up in the discussion several times is: Is Israel really important to China？

我经常问自己的一个主要问题也是在讨论中经常出现的一个问题是：以色列对中国来说真的重要吗？

We see endless delegations coming in-and-out of Israel for business, investments and academic exchange purposes, but perhaps Israel is just a commodity to consume like any other country in the world which would like to do successful business with a rising superpower.

我们看到无尽的代表团来来往往以色列进行商业，投资和学术交流活动，但是以色列或许只是一种用于消费的商品，就像其他国家那样，都想和崛起的超级强国建立成功的商业关系。

I of course don’t have an answer to that. But if the answer is: “Yes, Israel is a commodity”; then there should be a discussion of how to handle this reality, how to leverage the assets Israel already has and keep Israel’s competitive advantage over other countries.

我当然无法回答这样的问题。但如果答案是：“是的，以色列是一种商品”；那么我们就应该发起相应的讨论，比如以色列应该如何处理这个现实，如何利用以色列目前已经拥有的资源，以及如何让以色列保持对其他国家的竞争优势。


Gregory Weaver 15 hours ago
Now offense Mr Freund but China is more likely than not to fail in it foreign policy. First China is burning far more bridges than its building. The trade friction between the US and China alone could manifest in such away as to throw China into depression. Not to metion Chinas problems with the EU. As for China being a rising super that is laughable at best. China has managed to steal its way to prosperity and now that the neighbors house is robbed clean i find it highly unlikely China will be able to adjust its economic policy fastest enough to avoid a ression and it may be to late to avoid a 1930s style depression. I would warn any country in the world to avoid betting the farm on Chinas future because any number of a host of problems could sink that dream. I could go on and on as to the details on those problems but suffice it to say if any one of those problems manifest China will face a massive economic shock. Worse is China has no social structure in place to avoid human suffering. This is a recipe for social unrest on a Chinese scale that will leave China reeling for some time and if things turn really south youll have a refugee problem on a Chinese scale. You most likely get your info about China from Xinhua so just a reminder anything they say is probably a lie based upon a fabrication wraped in deciet. Since when does an economy always sound like sunshine and daffodiles? Economies fluctuate with ups and downs and cycles. There is no way that China has a secret formula to avoid the downturns. Isreal and every other country in the world would do well to remeber this.

作者，我没有冒犯你的意思，但是中国更有可能在外交政策上惨败。首先中国的失将比得来得多。中美之间的贸易摩擦就可以将中国置身于大萧条之中。更别提中国与欧盟存在的问题了。称中国是崛起中的超级强国，这就更加可笑了。中国以窃取而富有，现在中国抢光了自己的邻居，所以我认为中国将无法快速调整自己的经济政策来避免经济衰退，而且可能面临1930年代的那种大萧条。我会警告其他国家不要将赌注放在中国的未来身上，因为中国存在的问题将使得这个美梦破裂。我可以继续详述这些问题的细节，但是一言以蔽之，只要其中的任何一个问题出现，中国都将面临巨大的经济震动。更糟的是中国没有社会保障结构来防止人民遭受苦难。这将导致中国社会大规模的动乱，从而使得中国倒退，还有可能出现大规模的中国难民问题。你可能从新华社获取了有关中国的大部分信息，但是新华社的报道大部分都是谎言。哪有一个经济体从来都是一帆风顺的？经济总是上下波动，有周期的。中国不可能有阻止经济衰退的秘方。以色列和其他国家最好记住这一点。

William Chak 12 hours ago
I don’t think Mr. Freund is offended, I think he is laughing at your comment right now.

我不觉得本文作者被冒犯了，我认为他正在嘲笑你的言论。

Gregory Weaver 11 hours ago
Perhaps but Goldman Sacs and JP Morgan are not as they have made similar arguments. And I would imagine those are a bit harder to laugh about then me.

或许吧，但是高盛和摩根公司可不会，因为他们的观点和我类似。而我可以想象那些嘲笑我的人都是刻板的。

tarashankarrudra 15 hours ago
My only message to the members of the diamond necklace is SELL your goods and services but do NOT get SOLD, and please NO IMPORTS from china.

我想对钻石项链成员们说的是可以出售你们的货物和服务，但是不要被出卖了，而且不要从中国进口产品了。

Harold Silver 13 hours ago
I read your article and was enlightened by it, I think it would be a positive for Israel being that the Obama administration has turned it’s, back on them.

我读了你的文章深受启发，我觉得这对以色列来说是有利的，因为奥巴马政府已经拒绝帮助以色列。

William Chak 12 hours ago
no doubt China will succeed whatever they are doing with the new Silk Road initiative. In diplomatic front, China have no enemies. dispute? yes, just like every other countries would have. China just finished the mile stone of building more then 20,000 miles high speed railroad for itself and some other countries, and the project is ongoing. China now has more trading partners then the U.S. For those who think they have the crystal ball and under estimate China are the same people who under estimated China was not becoming to be the biggest economy 30 years ago.

毫无疑问，无论中国的新丝绸之路计划进行得怎样，他们都将取得成功。在外交层面，中国没有敌人。争议？有，每个国家都会有。中国刚刚完成了2万多英里高铁里程碑，包括中国国内和其他国家的，而且还在不断延伸。中国现在的贸易伙伴比美国多。对于那些低估中国的人，他们会像30年前认为中国无法成为世界最大经济体的人们一样蠢。

dee confucius 9 hours ago
Israel And China I am very surprise and happy that China is working with Israel for fair trading and higher education. Israel has technology china has market. Israel has average yearly income of $34 k US dollar, China will not get cheap labor from Israel. Illegal drugs and domination is my concern. Currently , China has 12 company will sell illegal drugs , like carfentani, to any one will pay a price. Carfentani is lethal. with size of flex seed will kill a person instantly. thousands of people has been killed, knowingly or unknowingly. Domination and human right are hand to hand. In our communication age, fair trading with the world is the basic survival. China current law and common sense maybe very different from Israel. All my friends from Israel are highly educated, smart, hard working and honest people. I do not know how Israel will mix in and work with Chinese. The Chinese people I know mostly intelligent, hard working, but they trust the government blindly. The government is a big issue. If You are in china, you only have the right that Chinese government tell you that you have. People are missing or died in china, when they do business in china. Israel is family oriented country like USA, Canada… I wonder that you would feel safe, if you and your family move to china to work, or even you travel by your self to china to work. Your family would not feel safe. I guess, I am trying to say. Israel should continue to do fair trade with other country like India, USA, Canada… do not limit to china, so you can back out safely, if China become dangerous. Your responsibility is to your Israel people healthy living. LOL, China has no danger to do free trade with Israel. Your eagle may be hurt a little. Israel people are outstanding.

我很高兴看到中国和以色列在贸易和高等教育上的合作。以色列有技术，中国有市场。以色列人均收入3.4万美元，中国无法从以色列获得廉价劳动力。毒品和支配是我所担忧的。目前，中国有12家公司将销售毒品，比如卡芬太尼（镇痛药）。这种药物是致命的，种子那么大小就可以立马杀死一个人。已经有上万人因此而死，不管是故意的还是无意的。支配和人权是相对抗的。在我们这个通信时代，与世界的公平交易是基本的生存手段。中国现在的法律和常识或许和以色列的非常不同。我所有的以色列朋友都受过高等教育，智慧，努力工作，诚实。我不知道以色列将如何与中国人相处和打交道。我所认识的中国人大部分都聪明，努力工作，但是盲目的信任政府。政府是个大问题。如果你住在中国，你只能拥有政府赋予的权利。有人在中国做生意时失踪或者死去。以色列是以家庭为导向的国家，就像美国和加拿大。。。不要仅限于中国，这样一旦中国变得危险，你也能全身而退。你的责任就是保证以色列人民的健康生活。哈哈，中国对与以色列的自由贸易不构成危险。美国鹰可能会因此受伤。以色列人民是出色的。