全世界（含中国）对中国的崛起措手不及 [美国媒体]

The world— including China — is unprepared for the rise of China

全世界（包括中国）对中国的崛起措手不及

Chinese President Xi Jinping, right, and Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou shake hands in Singapore on Nov. 7. (Wong Maye-E/Associated Press)

中国主席习近平和台湾马英九11月7号新加坡握手

For thefirst time in centuries, China affects the global economy as much as it isaffected by the global economy. In the years ahead, China is likely to accountfor betweenone-third and one-half of growth in global incomes, trade andcommodity demand, and its significance will only increase as its share of theworld economy rises.

这是中国几个世纪以来第一次像被全球经济影响那样对全球经济产生影响。未来几年，中国可能在全球收入，贸易和商品需求的增长中占据三分之一到一半的量。而随着中国全球经济比重的增加，其重要性也会得到提升。

Ireturned last week from a trip to China with the dispiriting conclusion thatthe world lacks shared understandings regarding goals for the evolution of theChinese economy, the objectives of China policy in the short and medium terms,and the institutional structures needed to manage both cooperation andinevitable tensions. Chinese President Xi Jinping has rightly called for a “newtype of great-power relations.” But it must be embedded in, if not anew international economic architecture, then a substantially revised andupdated one.

上周我刚从中国回来，并得出了一个令人沮丧的结论：世界对中国经济的演变目标，中国中短期的政策目标，以及中国用于管理合作与不可避免紧张局势的制度结构缺乏共识。中国主席习近平已经正确的呼吁“新型的大国关系“。这种新型大国关系即使不是嵌入一个新的国际经济架构，那也应该是一个得到大幅修改和更新的国际经济架构。

ratl
3:09 PMGMT+0800
Chinainvests in schools, universities, manufacturing, businesses, trade, roads,bridges, railroads, renewable energies to resurrect its prominent place inhistory.

中国投资学校，大学，制造，商业，贸易，道路，桥梁，铁路，可再生能源，以复兴其在历史上的杰出地位。

noseferatu
3:09 PMGMT+0800
They havebeen big on infrastructure since they built the Wall.

自建造长城以来，他们就非常喜欢建设基建。

Giantsmax
2:38 PMGMT+0800
Once apeople have experienced greater living standards there is no going back. Chinahas been around a lot longer than western civilization, we all have to live inthis world together. There doesn't have to be a loser for another to be awinner. That is the game of power hunger, one that wants to dominate. That isnot good for humanity.

一旦人们经历了更好的生活标准后，人们就再也回不去了。
中国文明比西方文明久远很多，我们不得不共同生活在这个世界上。没有必要你死我活。
这是权力的游戏，是那种想要主宰的游戏。这对人类没有好处。

ChristopherKidwell
3:49 PMGMT+0800
True,Giantsmax. There does not need to be a loser for another person to be a winner.There is such a thing as a win-win situation contrary to what the "AmericaFTW!" nimrods would have us believe.

是的，没有必要你死我活。可以有双赢，而不是美国的那种心态。

PriscillaChink
12:46 PMGMT+0800
who caresabt. China bashing... the more u do it the more u admit defeat... keep going..realthy trumps wishing..

又是在抨击中国，真没意思。。。你越是抨击中国，你就越承认自己失败了。。。继续。。现实总会战胜愿望。

eeyaw
12:38 PMGMT+0800
Don'tblame China when you live beyond your means & containing them is akin tokicking yourself in the butt & this include your POTUS.

当你入不敷出时不要怪罪中国，牵制他们就相当于自取其辱，包括你们美国总统。

ChristopherKidwell
3:50 PMGMT+0800
eeyaw, Iam getting tired of hearing the bunkus from uber-conservatives that"Americans are living beyond their means!" No, Americans are beingunderpaid today when you compare income adjusted for inflation 40 years ago toincome today.
Some ofour costs (health care and insurance especially) have gotten outrageous aswell.

我真的不想再听极端保守主义者说什么“美国人入不敷出！”，不，当你扣除物价上涨因素对40年前的收入同今天的收入进行对比后，你会发现美国人现在的报酬过低。
还有一些其他的开销（特别是医保和保险）也变得非常高。

GuerrillaWarfare
11:15 AMGMT+0800
ourobjective must continue to be mutual growth and prosperity
Yeah,except almost all the growth has been in China and almost none in the US. Inthe meantime the gigantic trade deficits with China are hemorrhaging jobs fromthe US. Apart from making China stronger (which we suddenly find is not such agreat idea) what has our current policy achieved to benefit the US (other thancheap manufactured products)?

“共同增长和繁荣一定得继续成为我们的目标”
是吖，但是几乎所有的增长都在中国，美国几乎是0。同时，与中国的大量贸易逆差正让美国失去大量就业。除了让中国变得更加强大外（我们突然发现让中国变得更加强大并非一个好主意），我们目前的政策给美国带来了什么好处（除了廉价的工业产品外）？

BenJarvis
11:35 AMGMT+0800 [Edited]
yours isa typical zero-sum game argument that has typically and historically led towars at some point. summers (and china) are talking about resolving theeconomic issues between us from a win-win perspective.

你的这种看法是典型的零和博弈观点，这种观点在历史上导致了战争的爆发。萨默斯（和中国）讨论的是如何从双赢的角度解决中美之间的经济问题。

noseferatu
3:02 PMGMT+0800
"Letforeign things serve China" Mao

毛说：洋为中用

myeyea2
10:56 AMGMT+0800
Does theworld really want a dictatorship that maintains it's own isolation to have anygrowth in their impact on people worldwide. In the 60's they killed over 30million of their own people with wild policies and continued with other insanepolicies for decades. Now they are focused on militarily controlling the entireSouth Pacific region, much like Japan did. They constantly threaten war,stating they "aren't afraid of a war with the US; "we can hit the USwith nuclear missiles, etc. What kind of people just come out saying thingslike this? Anyone want these kind of people having more power then they do now?Wise minds look at the past as a predictor of the future.

这个世界真的需要让这个自我孤立的独裁政体加大对全世界人民的影响吗。60年代，他们杀死了3000多万中国人，之后疯狂政策还持续了几十年。现在他们致力于军事控制整个南太平洋地区，很像以前的日本。他们不断的威胁要发起战争，称他们“不害怕与美国开战”；我们可以用核导弹袭击美国等等。什么样的人才会说这种话吖？谁愿意让这样的人获得更多力量吖？智者都会以史为鉴来预测未来。

ObjectiveReader1
10:33 AMGMT+0800
LarrySummers, once again, is an apologist for China. (Never underestimate the desireto get a cushy consulting gig.)
Chinadoes not need additional powers. It is abusive with the powers it currently has

拉里萨默斯再次成为中国的辩护者。（永远不要低估人们想获得轻松咨询工作的欲望。）
中国不需要额外的力量。中国已经在滥用自己现在所拥有的力量。

noseferatu
3:08 PMGMT+0800
The PRCis not about to be pushed around buy anyone. They had enough of that over thelast two centuries.

中国不会再让任何人摆布。过去200年来已经被摆布的够多了。

jdb26354
10:25 AMGMT+0800 [Edited]
It ispointless to discuss the economies of nations in isolation from their politics.

从政治角度来谈论孤立国家的经济是没有意义的。