中国的经济在减速。真令人惊讶啊。投资者通常会把政府所报告的增长率再减至少100个基点(1%),这样一来中国今年的GDP增长率就是6%左右了。当它明年继续放缓,那些依赖于为中国提供出口的国家会在几个关键工业领域感觉到利润的紧缩。无论是澳大利亚的必和必拓,还是台湾的鸿海精密制造,中国的减速是折10个国家迟早得面对的东西。
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-------------译者:tomandjerry-审核者:文所未闻------------
China’s economy is slowing down. Surprise surprise. Investors are basically discounting government reported growth rates by at least 100 basis points, which puts China’s GDP growth this year at around 6%. As it slows further next year, countries that rely on China for exports will feel a margin squeeze across some key industries. Whether its BHP Billiton in Australia, or Hon Hai Precision Industries in Taiwan, a Chinese slowdown is something these 10 countries will have to face sooner rather than later. It’s likely to impact corporate credit. And it might even impact government accounts as less demand for exports to China means countries will have to make up for it with other countries. It’s unclear who will be able to pick up the slack.
中国的经济在减速。真令人惊讶啊。投资者通常会把政府所报告的增长率再减至少100个基点(1%),这样一来中国今年的GDP增长率就是6%左右了。当它明年继续放缓,那些依赖于为中国提供出口的国家会在几个关键工业领域感觉到利润的紧缩。无论是澳大利亚的必和必拓,还是台湾的鸿海精密制造,中国的减速是折10个国家迟早得面对的东西。这有可能会对企业信用,甚至对政府账目产生冲击,因为中国对他们出口的需求减少,意味着这些国家得从其他国家补足。不清楚谁能够接盘。
-------------译者:Summer猫甜橙-审核者:文所未闻------------
Exports to China are at risk in the event of a rapid slowdown, while a high level of imports from China exposes a country to disinflationary pressures. Here are the top 10 countries exporting to China and the year-to-date performance of their corresponding exchange traded funds
中国经济的急剧下滑使得面向中国的出口陷入危机,而对中国商品进口的高度依赖也反映了一个国家的反通货膨胀压力。以下是面向中国出口排名前十的国家以及年初至今的交易量。
-------------译者:zwbckmy-审核者:文所未闻------------
10. Indonesia
China accounts for roughly 10% of Indonesia’s exports, equivalent to 2% of its GDP.
10.印尼 (IDX -21.7%)
中国约占印尼出口的10%,相当于印尼2%的GDP。
9. Thailand
China accounts for 12% of Thailand’s exports and 7% of its GDP.
9.泰国 (THD -16.21%)
中国约占泰国出口的12%,相当于其7%的GDP。
8. Malaysia
Getting up there. China is 12% of Malaysia exports and 10% of its GDP.
8.马来西亚(EWM -20.4%)
中国约占该国出口的12%,相当于其10%的GDP。
7. Brazil (EWZ -33.6%)
China is basically 18% of Brazil’s exports and is its single biggest foreign market for Made in Brazil. But as far as GDP, China accounts for just 2% of that.
7.巴西(EWZ -33.6%)
中国占巴西出口的18%,是巴西制造最大的海外市场。但就GDP总量而言,对华出口仅占2%。
6. Peru (EPU -31.4%)
China is 19% of Peruvian exports and roughly 4% of its GDP.
6.秘鲁(EPU -31.4%)
中国占秘鲁出口的19%,大约相当于其4%的GDP。
5. Japan (EWJ +11.83%)
China is also 19% of Japan’s exports and 3% of its GDP.
5.日本(EWJ +11.83%)
中国也约占日本出口的19%,相当于其3%的GDP。
-------------译者:zwbckmy-审核者:文所未闻------------
4. Chile (ECH -17.3%)
China is 23% of Chile’s export market and around 8% of its GDP thanks to the copper trade.
4. 智利 (ECH -17.3%)
中国在智利出口市场中占比达23%,相当于其将近8%的GDP,这要归功于对华铜贸易。
3. Korea (EWY -2.6%)
Korea has held up well despite China’s market volatility. China is responsible for 25% of Korean exports and roughly 11% of its GDP.
3.韩国(EWY -2.6%)
韩国经受住了中国市场的波动,韩国25%的出口流向中国,大约占到韩国GDP的11%。
2. Taiwan (EWT -9.56%)
Taiwan, too, has held up fairly well despite the fact that 26% of its exports are China bound. A whopping 16% of its economic output is dependent on China.
2.台湾 (EWT -9.56%)
台湾也同样表现很好,虽然有26%的出口依赖中国大陆。台湾16%的GDP依赖于对大陆的出口。
1. Australia (EWA -13.4%)
Iron ore has made China account for 34% of Aussie exports worldwide. China accounts for 6% of Australian GDP.
1.澳大利亚(EWA -13.4%)
铁矿石的原因,导致中国接收了澳洲34%的出口。澳大利亚GDP的6%来自中国市场。
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