quora网友:1899年,法国艺术家Jean-Marc Côté认为2000年的人们将骑着海马在天上钓海鸥。但是事实并非如此。但表明了一件事:预测是一种虚构。没人可以预测到川普总统的崛起,或者英国脱欧。那还是2016年的时候......
Can India catch up with China in this century?
印度可以在本世纪赶上中国吗?
Pak L. Huide, studied at China
Updated Feb 22, 2017
In 1899, the french artist Jean-Marc Côté thought that people in 2000 would be riding seahorses and fishing seagulls from the sky (Link). Now unless I am missing out, this is NOT what happened. But it does go to show one fact:
Predictions are fictions.
No one predicted the rise of President Trump, the Brexit nor the victory of the Cubs. And that was just in 2016.
1899年,法国艺术家Jean-Marc Côté认为2000年的人们将骑着海马在天上钓海鸥。但是事实并非如此。但表明了一件事:预测是一种虚构。没人可以预测到川普总统的崛起,或者英国脱欧。那还是2016年的时候。
Sivanadipatham Thaimanasamy
Aug 12, 2017 • 3 upvotes
I don't understand why people ask this question as China and India are two different countries and they are not in a race to chase up each other. It's like positive and negative to the world. If they are smart one can be the manufacturer and the other can be the servicer.
我不明白人们为什么要问这个问题,因为中国和印度是两个不同的国家,他们没有必要互相追逐。就像世界的正反面。如果他们足够智慧,一个可以成为制造商,一个可以成为服务商。
Naga Manjunath
Feb 17, 2017 • 10 upvotes
What they said is true to a great degree(except that they aren't almighty) if you look around :
How many good leaders did we have since independence?
How effectively have we eliminated corruption?
What are our world class accomplishments as a nation?
Are we self sufficient?
Are we among the top 3 economies?
How many world class institutions do we have?
What are our breakthroughs in defence and space technologies?
Are we relevant in international politics? Heck, are we atlest heard?
How much of influence can you wield in the UN?
How strong is your currency?
What's the percentage of increase in exports over the past decade?
How many world class companies do your have?
What's the percentage of increase in HDI over the past few years?
And I can go on…
英国人的预测在很大程度上没有错(只不过现在的英国已经不再强大),比如:
自独立以来我们有多少优秀的领袖?我们在打击腐败上多么有效?我们取得了哪些世界级的成就?我们自给自足吗?我们的经济世界前三吗?我们有多少世界级的院校?我们在国防和空间技术上有什么突破?我们在国际政治上拥有多大影响力?在联合国拥有多少影响力?印度货币有很强吗?过去十年出口增加了多少?拥有多少世界级的企业?过去几年人类发展指数增加了多少?等等。
Rohan Verma
Aug 1, 2017 • 6 upvotes including Naga Manjunath
Well Naga you are right. But India is changing it’s just that congress did nothing all these years and we cannot just expect Modi to just snap his fingers and wow done! India has progressed a lot and it will. Some part of it starts with us. Where are you in progressing India? What have you done? Ask yourself. It starts with you.
确实,但是印度也在改变,只不过国大党这么多年来一事无成,所以不能期望莫迪立马实现什么伟大的成就!印度已经进步很多了。我们普通人也有一定责任,问问你自己为印度做了什么贡献。从我做起。
Deepak Gowda, Born and raised in India for 28 years
Answered Feb 3, 2017
Most definitely possible. Japan went from rubbles to being a economical powerhouse in less than 50 years. Why China itself grew from a poor nation to being a super power in 50 years. India has the ingredients to be the next success story. Will it be? Only time can tell.
非常有可能。日本在不到50年的时间里从一片废墟变成经济强国。中国用50年时间从一个穷国变成一个超级强国。印度有潜力成为下一个成功的国家。什么时候?只能让时间告诉我们。
我们致力于传递世界各地老百姓最真实、最直接、最详尽的对中国的看法
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