外媒：美国帮助台湾，中国会对美宣战吗？ [美国媒体]

-------------译者：klqw-审核者：龙腾翻译总管------------



Will China declare war on the United States if we defend Taiwan from invasion?

美国帮助台湾，中国会对美宣战吗？


-------------译者：糯米团子-审核者：龙腾翻译总管------------

Michel McGill Born lived and worked in China.
Written Mon
This will not happen mostly because US may not defend Taiwan even with US-Taiwan relation treaty.
After WWI China and US were allies. According League Nations agreement US had duty to protect China from aggression. US navy harbored at Shanghai. 1931 Japan invaded China US did nothing. 1937 Japan invaded China again US navy sitting at Shanghai and let Nanjing Massacre happened near by. At that time US was China’s best ally.
US have sent military personals to train Georgian military capability. Georgian sent troops in Iraq and Afghan to help USA. However when Russia invaded Georgia at 2008 USA did nothing to protect Georgia.
Treaty agreement and talk may not realized when incident happens. USA always weight gain and lost before actions regardless the treaties and agreements. The action of USA is the law not international law can bind USA. It is naive to believe US will protect Taiwan unconditionally. It is Taiwan to guard US interest at that area not US to guard Taiwanese interest. Trump is smart. Trump will not waste US resource for other’s security.

多半不会，就算美国和台湾有安保协议，美国也不会保护台湾。
一战后中美是盟友。根据协议美国有义务保护其联盟中国免受攻击。美国海军就停靠在上海。1931年日本入侵中国，美国啥行动都没有。1937年日本再次入侵中国，美国海军依旧停靠在上海眼睁睁看着南京大屠杀发生。那时候美国是中国最好的盟友。
美国曾经派军事人员帮格鲁吉亚训练军队。格鲁吉亚则进入伊拉克和阿富汗帮助美国。然而2008年格鲁吉亚被俄罗斯入侵时美国袖手旁观啥也没做。
当有事时安保协议不过是句空话。美国素来恣意妄为从不管规则协议。美国自己就是法律根本不是国际法所能约束的。相信美国会无条件保护台湾的不要天真了。在这片区域台湾的存在是为了保护美国利益的而不是反过来的情况。特朗普很聪明，不会为了其他国家的安危来浪费美国资源的。

 -------------译者：糯米团子-审核者：龙腾翻译总管------------

Roger Do lived in Taiwan
Written Mon
No. There will be no formal declaration of war as Christopher Witman pointed out. China already harass US vessels when it gets the chance and it’ll escalate. In the event of US defend Taiwan China will create more opportunity where small conflicts will occur often and then a major collision will “happen.” China will then use that as a cautionary move to enter into high-level talk with US to de-escalate drag out the negotiation and when the small and puttering moral indignation dies down in US about Taiwan it’ll just go about its business and let the negotiation die.
American military may have the teeth of a shark but the American populace has the attention span of a goldfish.

不，就像 Christopher Witman讲得那样不会有正式宣战的。中国一有机会就骚扰美国船只并且骚扰还不断升级。在美国保护台湾这事上中国不断制造摩擦，继而形成冲突。然后中国会很谨慎的与美国高层会谈好拖延时间，当那点小愤怒过去之后，会谈挂了继续做生意。
美国军方虽然牙齿锋利但国内百姓对此事的兴趣也就几秒钟。

 -------------译者：糯米团子-审核者：龙腾翻译总管------------

Christopher Witman Ex-US Army and Reserve Veteran of ten 10 years w/ an Associates in Military hist
Written Mon
Not directly no. They'd probably declare some kind of maritime exclusion zone and if we crossed it which we would they'd fight. But a formal declaration of war? No.
Their goal would be to overrun Taiwan before we could get substantial reinforcements to the area.

直接杠上不可能。顶多宣布在海上划片区域，如果我们敢越线揍我们一顿。正式宣战？绝对不可能。
他们的目标是在我们派遣大量增援部队到该地区之前迅速占领台湾。

-------------译者：糯米团子-审核者：龙腾翻译总管------------

Yu-Hsing Chen lives in Taiwan
Written 12am
Do you know when’s the last time the USA actually declared war? Syria? Iraq? Vietnam? Korea?
Nope none of those the last time the USA declared war in official capacity was 1942 on freaking Hungary / Romania / Bulgaria as part of WW2.
So technically the USA has been at peace since 1945 AMRITE?
Obviously not so you see here’s the problem the post WW2 UN system has basically made it impossible to actually declare wars like it was done in the past. because it would trigger all sorts of issue from the UN and you end up getting in big trouble. .. this was designed with the hopes of ending wars….
Except it obviously didn’t. people on all sides soon realized the obvious just go to war without declaring it officially! So basically no wars have been officially declared (except maybe some dumb African small time warlords who have no idea what he’s doing. ) since 1945.
So yeah there will be no war declaration even if we’re nuking the F out of each other.

你知道美国最近一次宣战是哪次么？叙利亚？伊拉克？越南？朝鲜？
以上都不是，美国官方最近一次正式宣战是在1942年，二战爆发后，对象是那该死匈牙利/罗马尼亚/保加利亚。从学术上来说美国自1945年以来都处于和平状态？显然不是，重点是二战以后在联合国体系下，基本不可能像过去那样随便宣布开战。因为那会在联合国引发各种问题，最终惹上大麻烦……你看它就是被设计来防止战争的。
但是联合国并没有实现这样的作用。各派人马很快就意识到了，显然不必搞官方申明直接开打就成。所以自1945起基本没人跑出来正是宣战（当然非洲那些不知道在干啥的愚蠢小军阀例外）。
所以哪怕我们彼此互扔核弹也不会有战争宣言的。

 -------------译者：糯米团子-审核者：泯彻？无道鼎革！------------

Bill Carson former Business Owner
Written Mon
No.
China would have to consider using nuclear weapons in defense of their country if they declared war on the United States. Even then IF a loser were to be declared in such a war it certainly would be China.
China’s leaders are not crazy so if nuclear war were to break out between our two countries china wouldn't be the instigator.

不会。
如果中国对美宣战肯定会考虑动用核武来保卫国家。一旦她宣战了那么输家势必会是中国。
中国领导人不疯也不傻，倘若核战爆发肯定不会是中国先挑起的战端。