【 Quora 】:为什么中国要支持和保护朝鲜?(上) [美国媒体]

quora网友:从历史上看,中国在寻求保护自身的最佳利益,那么与朝鲜的结盟是有道理的,但这个问题上的假设现在早已过时。由于朝鲜的挑衅行为,中国目前与朝鲜的关系岌岌可危。此时,“盟友”这个词可能太过强烈,无法用它形容。中国和朝鲜是贸易伙伴....

Why is China supportive of North Korea? Why does China still protect North Korea? Why has China historically been an ally of North Korea?

【 Quora 】:为什么中国要支持和保护朝鲜?(上)



North Korea didn't exist as a country for a long time. China and Japan had fought in the late 19th century in the First Sino-Japanese War, over control of Korea. Korea was considered an important strategic point between Japan and China, and Japan won the war, and Korea became part of the Japanese sphere of influence, and eventually was annexed as part of the Japanese Empire.
Korea remained part of Japan for a long time, and was critical in allowing Japan to invade China as part of the Second Sino-Japanese War.  Japan lost Korea as a result of this war, and the Soviets occupied the northern half of Korea and the Americans occupied the southern half of Korea, and this was intended to be a short term decision, and most expected Korea to be unified afterwards. However, with the onset of the Cold War, the Soviet friendly Supreme Leader Kim Il-Sung declared war on South Korea and sought to unify it. China was not involved, initially, at least.
The North Koreans surged through South Korea, and pushed them back, until the Americans landed at Inchon and began the push back to the Chinese border. 
China pushed the Western powers back to the original border, and it was agreed that the border should be held at the pre-war border again. And China has stood by North Korea for the original reason - as a buffer zone. That has been the core of Chinese support of North Korea. China now only props up North Korea due to the want for a buffer zone, and because if North Korea collapsed, most North Koreans would flee to China. This is because the North Koreans have been indoctrinated for decades being taught that the South Koreans are evil and would inflict all sorts of horrors upon them. So China would suddenly have 24 million refugees on it's hands, all of whom would be poor and desperate, and China would not want to have to bear the financial burden of looking after these people.
So that is essentially why China is supporting North Korea - because it wants a buffer zone, and because it doesn't want to support refugees who would inevitably come. 

北朝鲜作为一个国家存在的时间并不长。中国和日本在19世纪末的中日甲午战争中争夺对朝鲜的控制权。朝鲜被认为是日本和中国之间的重要战略要地。然后日本赢得了战争,朝鲜成为日本势力范围的一部分,最终被日本帝国吞并。
很长一段时间,朝鲜是日本的一部分。朝鲜在日本第二次中日战争入侵中国中发挥了关键作用。但日本也在这场战争中失去了朝鲜,苏联占领了朝鲜的北部,美国占领了朝鲜的南部,这是一个短期的决定,大多数人都认为朝鲜会在战争结束后统一。然而,随着冷战的爆发,跟苏联友好的最高领导人金日成向南韩宣战,并试图统一韩国。但至少一开始,中国是没有参与的。
北朝鲜迅速地攻向南韩,将它们不断击退,直到美国人在仁川登陆,并向中国边境推进。

中国将联合国军推回到原来的边界,并同意边境恢复为战前边界。中国支持朝鲜的初衷是将其作为一个缓冲区。这一直是中国支持朝鲜的核心。中国现在支持朝鲜,因为他们想要一个缓冲区,而且因为如果朝鲜崩溃,大多数朝鲜人将逃到中国。这是因为,数十年来,朝鲜一直被灌输这样的思想,南韩是邪恶的,会给他们带来各种各样的恐怖。因此,中国将突然拥有2400万难民,他们都是贫穷和绝望的,而中国不愿承担照顾这些人的经济负担。
因此,这就是为什么中国支持朝鲜——因为它想要一个缓冲区,因为它不想承担这些必然会来的难民。

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During the Vietnam war, the US government labelled Vietnam the same way it is labelling North Korea now: a very dangerous hardcore communist country controlled by a maniacal kook government, hell bent on conquering/destroying the free peoples of Middle-Earth and the ring MUST be destroyed! Look at Communist Vietnam now. It is where most of your smartphones and other digital mobile devices are manufactured. It is technically more peaceful than America. You don’t see mass protest on the streets, racial manslaughter committed by their police force etc.
The second answer is, as many others here have pointed out, China does not want to see North Korea destroyed. China is already being surrounded by Amelican military weapons in South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Phillipines and very soon in Vietnam.
If North Korea is destroyed by the Amelicans, they would set up their military bases along the China–North Korea border (ie the Yalu River). That border is the CLOSEST you can get to Beijing. A typical commercial airplane only takes less than 2hours to fly from that border to Beijing. Imagine how long would missiles take to reach Beijing. This is not paranoia. Ask yourself: why did the Amelicans set up their military bases in Okinawa and not at Hokkaido?

在越南战争期间,美国政府称越南和“现在的朝鲜”一样的称呼:一个非常危险的GC主义国家,由一个狂热的政府控制,他决心征服和摧毁这个世界的自由人民,所以必须被摧毁!看看现在GC主义的越南。你的大部分智能手机和其他数字移动设备都是在那里生产的。它比美国更和平。你不会在街上看到大规模的抗议,警察的种族屠杀等等。

第二个答案是,正如在座的许多人所指出的,中国不希望看到朝鲜被摧毁。中国已经被在韩国、日本、台湾、菲律宾、甚至将来在越南的美国军事设施所包围。
如果朝鲜被美国摧毁,他们将在中朝边界(即鸭绿江)建立军事基地。那是到北京最近的边界。一架常规的商用飞机从边境到北京只需要不到2个小时。想象一下导弹到达北京需要多长时间。这不是妄想。问问你自己:为什么美国人在冲绳建立军事基地,而不是在北海道?

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Historically, it made sense in the past for China to ally with North Korea as it sought to protect its best interests, but the assumptions made in the question are long out of date. 
China’s present relationship with North Korea is shaky, marred by provocations from North Korea. Ally is perhaps too strong of a word to describe it at this point. China and North Korea are trading partners, just like China and the US are trading partners. China is not interested in siding with North Korea, it is interested in maintaining stability in the region so international trade in the global market will not be disrupted. If you think China is siding with North Korea, look at headlines from two South Korean newspapers on September 4, 2017:
Chinese, Russian leaders reiterate call for North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons
China warns North Korea over ‘preparations of another missile launch’
This does not necessarily mean that China will support every U.S. proposal or threat. China will work in its own best interests. It’s trade with North Korea ($6.5 billion) is insignificant compared to its trade with the U.S. ($648 billion) and EU ($613 billion) in 2016. China cannot risk losing trade with the US, neither can the US afford to forfeit trade with China.
However, the commodities in the trade befween China and North Korea are somewhat significant. North Korea receives a large percentage of its food and energy from China. China imports coal, steel, and other minerals from North Korea, though sanctions have stopped the flow of coal for now. It is well known in the international community that North Korea has large reserves of minerals, which include gold, iron, copper, magnesium, zinc, and rare-earth-element bearing minerals. This 2013 report from the US Geological Survey in the US Department of Interior details North Korea’s mineral holdings.
China certainly does not want to give up access to these minerals. However, there is significant motivation for China to stop North Korea from gaining an operational ICBM. China’s best interests also include stopping the escalation of threats between US and North Korea and preventing military action. Hence, the constant bickering about the extent to which China should go in sanctions against North Korea.
The US State Department and military know that there are no good options for using any type of military force against North Korea, as the retaliation by North Korea on South Korea would be devastating. This is exactly why sanctions are so important. It is also why South Korea is pushing for a diplomatic solution and hoping President Trump will not get trigger happy with military force. President Trump has just accused the government of South Korea being too soft and focused on appeasement, and threatened withdrawal from a trade agreement. Perhaps it's because they live there and seek to avoid military action when other avenues are available.
Many US citizens still view China from a Cold War perspective. The US and China opened trade and normalized relations in the 1970s, isolating the Soviet Union, and have been trading partners ever since. Now, they are tough financial competitors in the global market. By nature of mutual self-interest China and the US are on the same side about preventing North Korea from having an operational ICBM. Naturally, the US will accuse China of not going far enough, and China will accuse the US of being too provocative, but that doesn’t mean China is siding with North Korea.

从历史上看,中国在寻求保护自身的最佳利益,那么与朝鲜的结盟是有道理的,但这个问题上的假设现在早已过时。
由于朝鲜的挑衅行为,中国目前与朝鲜的关系岌岌可危。此时,“盟友”这个词可能太过强烈,无法用它形容。中国和朝鲜是贸易伙伴,就像中国和美国是贸易伙伴一样。中国对站在朝鲜一边不感兴趣,它感兴趣的是保持该地区的稳定,这样全球市场的国际贸易就不会受到干扰。如果你认为中国站在朝鲜一边,那么看看2017年9月4日两家南韩报纸的头条:
中国、俄罗斯领导人重申呼吁朝鲜放弃核武器

关于“准备再次发射导弹”,中国对此警告朝鲜
但这并不意味着中国会支持美国的每一个提议或威胁。中国将为自己的最大利益而考虑。它与朝鲜的贸易额(65亿美元)与它在2016年与美国(6480亿美元)和欧盟(6130亿美元)的贸易额相比微不足道。中国不会冒险失去与美国的贸易,美国也不会放弃与中国的贸易。
然而,中国和朝鲜之间的贸易中所涉及的大宗商品有些很重要。朝鲜很大一部分的食品和能源来自中国。中国从朝鲜进口煤炭、钢铁和其他矿产,尽管目前的制裁已经阻止了煤炭的流通。众所周知,朝鲜拥有大量的矿藏,包括金、铁、铜、镁、锌和稀土元素。这份2013年美国地质调查局在美国内政部的报告中详细描述了朝鲜的矿产资源。

中国当然不想放弃开采这些矿产。然而,中国有很大的动机阻止朝鲜获得洲际弹道导弹。中国的最佳利益还包括阻止美朝之间的威胁升级,阻止军事行动。因此,关于中国应该对朝鲜实施多大程度的制裁争论不断。
美国国务院和军方知道,对朝鲜动用任何形式的军事力量都不是好的选择,因为朝鲜对韩国的报复将是毁灭性的。这正是制裁如此重要的原因。这也是为什么韩国正在努力推动外交解决方案,并希望特朗普总统不要使用武力。特朗普总统刚刚指责了韩国政府过于软弱,专注于绥靖政策,并威胁会退出一项贸易协定。也许是因为韩国住在那里,所以寻求避免军事行动,去寻找其它途径。

许多美国公民仍然从冷战的角度看待中国。在上世纪70年代,美国和中国就已开放贸易,实现关系正常化,并孤立了苏联,从此成为了贸易伙伴。现在,他们在全球市场上是金融竞争对手。出于两国的共同利益,中国和美国在防止朝鲜拥有洲际弹道导弹的方面立场一致。美国自然会指责中国走得不够远,中国也会指责美国太过挑衅,但这并不意味着中国站在了朝鲜那一边。

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Ah. To understand why China is still supporting North Korea, you need to go back to the School of Hard Knocks. And you need to understand this one thing:
In the School of Hard Knocks, a.k.a. international warfare, the US is playing for Dominance. All other countries are playing for Survival.
Now you need to go back and take a look at the history of North and South Korea. The Korean peninsula has been dominated by a unitary kingdom for at least a thousand years. The Koreans are the same people, speak the same language, follow the same customs, for a couple thousand years. There is no significant geological, cultural, religious, or racial significance to the 38th parallel that separates North Korea from South Korea, other than this accident of being occupied separately by the US vs. USSR at the end of WWII.
Korea was invaded by Japan prior to WWII, and had fallen to become a Japanese colony. This was the reason that Korea was occupied by the Allied troops post WWII, not because the country Korea did anything, but because it was a Japanese colony, where the Korean language was banned, young men were drafted to serve in the Japanese Imperial Army, and young women were “recruited” to become “comfort women”, a.k.a camp prostitutes, servicing a hundred men a day. Where there is oppression, there is rebellion. Some Koreans chose to fight, and some chose to collaborate with the Japanese invaders. After the end of WWII, the North Korean government was led by former guerrilla fighters against the Japanese invaders, and the South Korean government was mostly composed of Japanese collaborators. ROK’s military was mostly staffed with graduates of the former Military College of Japan. The father of the current South Korean president, Park Chung-hee, was such a graduate of the Japan military school, who rose to become the President of South Korean later on. The chief economic adviser was one of the most notorious Japanese collaborators, Pak Hung-sik, who in 1950 went to Japan to try to revive the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere with Japan.
China’s decision to keep the US away from her borders was pretty straight forward. Because the US war machine was formidable, and only counted Americans as human. The yellows, the blacks, and the browns didn’t count as people in a US war scenario, at all.
“Over a period of three years or so, we killed off — what — 20 percent of the population,” Air Force Gen. Curtis LeMay, head of the Strategic Air Command during the Korean War, told the Office of Air Force History in 1984.
The U.S. war crime North Korea won’t forget
The North Korea government was initially set up in a similar way as China and USSR, with a Politburo where all different opinions and factions were represented. Being the inveterate palace intriguer, Kim soon started scheming to get rid of his own comrade-in-arms, especially those who had been to either China or Russia. Both China and Russia were totally pissed. Some of the high-ranking officials fled to China and asked China to intervene. China offered them protection, and then did something that is very typically Chinese, which was to tell North Korea:
“I’m not your dad. I don’t owe you a thing. You are an asshole. I’m done with you.”
Thus China withdrew all of her forces back to China. That’s why there are 30,000 - 50,000 US troops in South Korea, and not a single Chinese soldier in North Korea, in the last 60 years. So much for “Chinese support of North Korea”.
So you see, the Kim family has always been little scheming palace intriguers. It’s like this is one of their “core competence”. Just look at how Kim the Third dealt with his own uncle and his own brother. 60 years, and the little homicidal palace intriguer is still the same little homicidal palace intriguer. And China never had any illusions about that.
So you must wonder, why in the world would China still protect North Korea? Because if you are concerned with your survival, and you have to choose between a homicidal palace intriguer, vs. a genocidal invading asshole.

啊。要理解中国为何支持朝鲜,你需要回到那段艰难时期。还有需要理解一件事。
在所谓的国际战争史上,美国是在谋求其统治地位。而其他国家都是在为生存而战。
现在你需要回顾一下朝鲜和韩国的历史。朝鲜半岛被一个单一的王国统治了至少一千年。南北韩人是同样的民族,说同样的语言,遵循同样的习俗,持续了两千年。除了二战结束时美国和苏联分别占领朝鲜和韩国之外,朝鲜与韩国之间的38线没有任何重大的地理、文化、宗教或种族意义。

朝鲜在二战前被日本侵略,并沦为日本殖民地。朝鲜被盟军占领的原因,不是因为朝鲜做了什么,而是因为它是日本的殖民地。当时,朝鲜语是被禁止的,年轻人在日本军队中参军,年轻女性被“招募”为“慰安妇”.一名妓女,每天要为一百人服务。哪里有压迫,哪里就有反抗。有些朝鲜人选择反抗,而有些人选择与日本侵略者合作。二战结束后,北朝鲜政府是由游击队战士领导,而南韩主要由为日本工作的“汉奸”组成。南韩军队的大部分成员都是前日本军事学院的毕业生。韩国总统朴槿惠的父亲毕业于日本军事学院,后来升任韩国总统。首席经济顾问是最臭名昭着的为日本工作的朴鸿植。1950年,朴鸿植前往日本,试图恢复与日本的大东亚共同繁荣。

中国让美国远离其边境的决定是非常直接的。因为美国的战争机器是可怕的。它只把美国人当作人类。在美国的战争场景中,黄色、黑色和棕色根本不算人。
“在大约三年的时间里,我们消灭了20%的人口,”美国空军在朝鲜战争期间的战略空军司令部司令柯蒂斯莱梅将军在1984年对美国空军历史办公室这样说。

朝鲜不会忘记美国的战争罪行。
朝鲜政府最初是以类似中国和苏联的方式建立的,在政治局中,所有不同的意见和派系都派出了代表。作为一个老谋深算的宫廷勾心斗角者,金日成很快就开始策划除掉自己的战友,尤其是那些曾经去过中国或俄罗斯的战友。中国和俄罗斯都被激怒了。一些高级官员逃到了中国,要求中国进行干预。中国为他们提供了保护,然后做了一件非常典型的中国事,那就是告诉朝鲜:
“我不是你爸爸。我什么都不欠你。你是一个混蛋。我受够了”

因此,中国将他所有的军队撤回了中国。这就是为什么在过去60年里,在韩国有3万到5万美军,而在朝鲜没有一个中国士兵。“中国对朝鲜的支持”就到此为止。
所以你看,金氏家族一直都是小阴谋家。这好像这是他们的“核心竞争力”之一。看看金家三世是如何对待自己的叔叔和兄弟的。60年了,这个宫心斗的阴谋家依然一如既往。中国从未对此抱以任何幻想。
所以你一定会想,中国为什么还要保护朝鲜呢?因为如果你需要关心自己的生存,你必须在宫心斗的阴谋家和种族灭绝入侵的混蛋之间做出选择。

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The answer is pretty simple, over the past 25Centuries China and the proto Chinese States that have coalesced around the Han people and the various Dynasties have developed a useful geo-political view that served them reasonably well until about 1840. 
It only failed last time due to Chinese leadership incompetence and the cultural stagnation under the Qing Dynasty not because it was a bad view. In fact for a nation with huge borders and difficult mountainous and desert frontiers it works well.
Remember that China’s view of historical success is measured in multiple centuries not decades, so she has had the equivalent of several industrial, agricultural and imperial revolutions and stayed in tact, where as Western Nations have risen and fallen with single episodes of the above list. The Agricultural Revolution, the Industrial Revolution, Mercantilism, Fascism and Communism, The Empires of Portugal, Spain, Prussia, Russia, Britain and France rose and declined mostly within the period of a single Chinese Dynasty. So adjust your temporal ideas of what is successful.
For the China view you have a core state based around a capital for the Han people, Beijing, Nanjing, Xian etc. You then divide the nation up into states with eye on not letting one state or region get powerful or rich enough to break away and vest power in the centre of the nation and joining an elite.
You surround your core nation and states with “frontier states” that are semi-independent and locally focused but have a Chinese civil and Military ruler usually reporting into Beijing both the ruler and the civil service.
Beyond your frontier states you have Vassal States, tribute states or suzerain states these are independent states that pay loyalty to China both physically and politically but are independent of China and face outward.
Beyond that you have a frontier with the outsiders, “the barbarians” and diplomatic relations with far off states like the Kingdom of Siam, Nippon or Islanders etc
These layers created a vast intelligence network and trade network that secured the home nation, behind a series of geo political barriers. Usefully they were also a proxy tool for exerting pressure on enemies when required. 
Thinking back to the pre-modern era before mechanisation, missiles and planes, these layers gave China a very, very advanced warning of when her enemies were on the march against her or when remote peoples or religions rose up. To reach the Han core and the home of the leadership was hard logistically and it gave the leadership time to organise and fight back.
The troublesome exception to this was the northern frontier and the mobile horse people of the north, so they built a wall over 100s of years and eventually incorporated those regions by design, defeat or conquest into China.
Modern China has simply drawn on this model and seeks not to have any direct boarders with her enemies or friends of her enemies, she seeks and likes direct control in the interest of her bordering states. This is a decades long process that ebbs and flows with leadership changes and geo-politics. China plays the long game always.
So China has succeeded in Tibet, Nepal, Pakistan and the Afghan Pan handle, to an extent in Vietnam, in North Korea, in the East Sea and South China Sea, Mongolia, Russia and arguably in Taiwan. It has had a set back in Myanmar and Sri Lanka recently but balanced this with success’s in Brunei, The Philippines, Cambodia and Laos and is currently leveraging chaos in Malay Politics. It is working on Central Asian success via Turkey and Iran with the belt way and CEPC.

答案很简单,在过去的25个世纪里,汉人和各个朝代联合起来的中国发展出了一套有用的地缘政治观点,这种观点在1840年以前都相当管用。
上一次失败的原因是因为中国领导层的无能,以及清朝的文化停滞,而不是因为这是一种错误的方法。事实上,对于一个有着巨大边界、绵延山区和沙漠边境线的国家来说,这个方法运转得很好。

请记住,中国对成功的看法是用许多个世纪而不是几十年来衡量的,因此好比它经历了几次工业、农业和帝国革命,并还保持着老练的风格,西方国家的崛起和衰落都是由上述清单中的单个事件所决定的。农业革命、工业革命、重商主义、法西斯主义和GC主义、葡萄牙帝国、西班牙帝国、普鲁士帝国、俄罗斯帝国、英国和法国帝国的兴衰几乎都发生在中国一个王朝的时期。所以,调整你对成功的观念。
对于中国来说,你有一个核心的国家,它是围绕着汉人、北京、南京、西安等首都的国家。然后,你将国家划分成不同的州,并着眼于不让某个州或地区变得强大或富有到足以分裂,并赋予国家中心以权力并吸纳精英。

你的核心周围是“边疆地区”,它们是半独立的,以地方为中心的,但有着中国的文职和军事管理者,通常需要向北京的统治者和行政机构汇报。
在你的边疆地区之外还有附属国,朝贡国等这些独立的国家,要在政治上对中国忠诚,但它们是独立于中国的,而且是面向外部的。
除此之外,你还有一个连接外界的边界,“野蛮人”,以及与遥远国家的外交关系,如暹罗王国,日本,和一些岛屿等等

这些层次创造了一个庞大的情报网络和贸易网络。放在一系列地缘政治壁垒的背后,从而保护了这个国家。在需要的时候,他们也是向敌人施加压力的代理工具。
回想一下在机械化、导弹和飞机出现之前的前现代时代,这些层面给了中国一个非常非常非常先进的警报,告诉中国敌人何时在向它进军,何时遥远的民族或宗教崛起。要到达汉人的核心和首都,后勤上是困难的,这给了领导组织和反击的时间。
这个令人讨厌的例外是北部的边疆和游牧民族,所以他们通过上百年建造了一堵墙,最终通过设计,击败或征服将这些地区并入中国。

现代中国只是照搬了这一模式,不寻求与敌人或敌人的朋友有任何直接的边界,而是寻求直接控制她的周边国家的利益。这是一个长达数十年的过程,伴随着领导层的更迭和地缘政治的更迭而起伏不定。所以中国一直在打持久战。
因此,中国在西藏、尼泊尔、巴基斯坦和阿富汗取得了成功,在越南、朝鲜、东海和南海、蒙古、俄罗斯以及台湾是一定程度上成功。最近,它在缅甸和斯里兰卡遭遇挫折,但在文莱、菲律宾、柬埔寨和老挝获得成功,目前它正在利用马来政治的混乱。也正想在土耳其和伊朗,通过“一带一路”和CEPC,在中亚取得成功。

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China- North Korea relationship went through a dramatic change in recent years.
China wanted to raise NK as his minion to challenge US and his East Asia allies. But when this minion grew up, he went rogue and wanted to be a super villain himself.
Although now two super villains dislike each other, they still have more common interest .
1.Kim Jong-il’s era
During 1990s and 2000s, NK economy collapsed. As a teen, I often heard the news of famine in NK and China gave NK food and medical relief. At that time, NK’s economy was so bad that it had no power to develop nuclear weapons or prepare warfares. If China took that opportunity to make regime change in NK at that time, NK won’t be a problem. But China decided to keep NK and provide as much help as possible.
China began to expand its influence on NK’s politics. China wanted NK to follow China’s economy model, i.e. opening and reform. China supported Jang Song-thaek, Kim Jong-il’s only sister’s husband. At that time, NK aborted its nuclear program. North Korea destroys nuclear reactor tower. NK also began economic reform. 
2.Kim Jong-un’s era
With China’s help, NK economy recovered. As a young man, Kim Jong-un obviously is much more ambitious than his father. He is not satisfied with his role as China’s minion. So Kim Jong-un purged his uncle Jang Song-thaek and many other pro-China officials. Rumor in China says Kim Jong-un used an antiaircraft artillery to shoot his uncle into pieces and then used a flamer to burn body pieces into ashes.
So China completely lost control over NK after this round of purge. Then NK restarted nuclear program.
3.Why does China still support NK?
Even though NK dislikes China now, they still have a major common interest, which is challenging US, keeping US out of Northern part of Korean Peninsula, undermining US’s influence in East Asia.
What China is afraid of the most is not that NK will start a nuclear war. Instead, if North Korea turns into a country like South Korea, a government allies with US, it will be China’s nightmare. At that time, China’s role in East Asia will be miserable. So as long as NK keeps its anti-American role, China will probably protect it.
Moreover, China doesn’t want to piss NK off completely: what if angry NK turns nuclear warhead towards China?

近年来,中朝关系发生了翻天覆地的变化。
中国想让北韩成为他的爪牙,来挑战美国及其东亚的盟友。但当它长大后,它开始变得很流氓,并想让自己成为一个超级恶棍。
虽然现在这两个超级恶棍都不喜欢对方,但他们仍然有许多共同利益。

1,金正日时代
在20世纪90年代和21世纪初,北韩经济崩溃。在我十几岁的时候,我经常听到北韩饥荒的消息,中国给北韩提供食物和医疗救助。当时,北韩的经济非常糟糕,没有能力发展核武器或准备战争。如果当时中国利用这个机会在北韩进行政权更迭,那么北韩现在将不会成为一个问题。但中国决定保留朝鲜,并尽可能多的提供帮助。
中国开始扩大对朝鲜政治的影响。中国希望北韩遵循中国的经济模式,即改革开放。中国支持金正日唯一妹妹的丈夫张成泽。当时,北韩放弃了它的核计划。北韩摧毁了核反应堆,也开始了经济改革。

2,金正恩的时代
在中国的帮助下,北韩经济复苏。作为一个年轻人,金正恩显然比他的父亲更有野心。他对自己在中国眼中小人物的角色并不满意。因此,金正恩清洗了他的姑父张成泽和许多亲中国官员。中国有传言说金正恩用高射炮把他的叔叔炸成碎片,然后用火把他的身体碎片烧成灰烬。
因此,在这一轮的清洗之后,中国完全失去了对朝鲜的控制。然后北韩重启了核项目。

3,为什么中国仍然支持朝鲜?
尽管朝鲜现在不喜欢中国,但他们仍有一个主要的共同利益,那就是挑战美国,让美国远离朝鲜半岛的北部,削弱美国在东亚的影响力。
中国最害怕的不是朝鲜会发动核战争。相反,如果朝鲜变成像韩国这样的国家,成为美国的盟友,那将是中国的噩梦。届时,中国在东亚的角色将是悲惨的。只要北韩继续扮演反美的角色,中国很可能会保护它。
此外,中国不想完全激怒北韩:如果愤怒的北韩将核弹头转向中国呢?

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